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Home ยป Predictions ยป Others ยป Penarol x Plaza Colonia Betting tips for November 25 in Uruguay Clausura
Saturday, 25 November 2023, 00h00 Uruguay Clausura
Penarol Penarol
PREDICTION Penarol wins Probability 3% 1 X 2
Plaza Colonia Plaza Colonia
ODD: @1.36 Don't miss this prediction! BET NOW Don't miss this prediction!

Penarol x Plaza Colonia Betting tips for November 25 in Uruguay Clausura

Our betting tip for Penarol x Plaza Colonia, Saturday, 25/11/2023
๐Ÿ“… 25/11/2023
00:30
Penarol Penarol
1.36
X
4.20
Plaza Colonia Plaza Colonia
7.48

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Penarol x Plaza Colonia:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Penarol wins the match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Penarol, you can win up to $680.00!

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The main points for the tip for Penarol x Plaza Colonia:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Penarol in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-89.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Plaza Colonia in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $98.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 Plaza Colonia matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 6 matches as the home team, Penarol conceded at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 5 matches as the away team, Plaza Colonia conceded at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ Penarol is a team that likes ball possession. In its last 4 home matches, it had at least 60.00% of possession.

๐Ÿ“Š Check out the analysis from this match on Betfellows: Complete prognostic for Penarol x Plaza Colonia

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Summary

Do you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Penarol x Plaza Colonia?

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Analysis from Penarol x Plaza Colonia for the Uruguay Clausura – 25 of November

๐ŸŸ๏ธ Penarol X Plaza Colonia – Uruguay Clausura
๐Ÿ“… 25 of November, 2023 – 00:30
๐Ÿ”ต Penarol – Winning probability: 82.20% | Fair line: 1.22
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 14.44% | Fair line: 6.93
๐Ÿ”ด Plaza Colonia – Winning probability: 3.37% | Fair line: 29.68
โš– Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Penarol
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Penarol and Plaza Colonia.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1024927 matches on the database from our soccer prognostics platform, Betfellows, looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Penarol x Plaza Colonia

Is it worth betting on Penarol?

๐Ÿ”ต Penarol: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 82.2% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.36. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 820 times – this would give you a profit of $295.20
  • And would lose other 180 times – losing -$180.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$115.20.

Should you bet on draw?

โšช draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 14.44%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.20. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 140 times – this would give you a profit of $448.00
  • And would lose other 860 times – losing -$860.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$412.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Plaza Colonia?

๐Ÿ”ด Plaza Colonia: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 3.37%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 7.48. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 30 times – profiting $194.40;
  • And would lose other 970 times – having a loss of -$970.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$775.60.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Penarol x Plaza Colonia

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

โš– Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Penarol
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Penarol x Plaza Colonia

โš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.75 Penarol, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -1.25 Penarol.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 1.25 Plaza Colonia.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Penarol x Plaza Colonia

โšฝ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves