Penarol x Plaza Colonia Betting tips for November 25 in Uruguay Clausura

Our betting tip for Penarol x Plaza Colonia, Saturday, 25/11/2023

📅 25/11/2023 00:30

Penarol 1.35

X 4.20

Plaza Colonia 7.40

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Penarol x Plaza Colonia:

🔮 Penarol wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Penarol, you can win up to $675.00!

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Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

Important information for your tip for Penarol x Plaza Colonia: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Penarol in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-89.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Plaza Colonia in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $98.0. 👉 In the last 3 Plaza Colonia matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 6 matches as the home team, Penarol conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 5 matches as the away team, Plaza Colonia conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Penarol is a team that likes ball possession. In its last 4 home matches, it had at least 60.00% of possession.

📊 You can also check out the full analysis on Betfellows: Prognostic for Penarol x Plaza Colonia

Looking for another bookie to bet on Penarol x Plaza Colonia?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Penarol x Plaza Colonia, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2023. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Penarol x Plaza Colonia for the Uruguay Clausura – 25 of November

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Penarol and Plaza Colonia.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1024961 matches on the database from our soccer prognostics platform, Betfellows, looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Penarol x Plaza Colonia

Should you bet on Penarol?

🔵 Penarol: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 80.45% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.35. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 800 times – profiting $280.00;
• And would have lost other 200 times – with a loss of -$200.00 because of them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$80.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 16.18% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.20. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 160 times – profiting $512.00;
• And would lose other 840 times – having a loss of -$840.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$328.00.

Is betting on Plaza Colonia worth it?

🔴 Plaza Colonia: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 3.38%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 7.40. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 30 times – profiting $192.00;
• And would have lost other 970 times – with a loss of -$970.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$778.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Penarol x Plaza Colonia

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Penarol
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Penarol x Plaza Colonia

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.0 Penarol and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -1.25 Penarol.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 1.25 Plaza Colonia.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Penarol x Plaza Colonia

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.