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Home » Predictions » Pennarossa x SP Domagnano Betting tips for November 30 in San Marino Campionato
Saturday, 30 November 2024, 14h00 San Marino Campionato
Pennarossa Pennarossa
PREDICTION SP Domagnano Wins Probability 74% 1 X 2
SP Domagnano SP Domagnano
ODD: @1.6 Don't miss this prediction!

Pennarossa x SP Domagnano Betting tips for November 30 in San Marino Campionato

Our betting tip for Pennarossa x SP Domagnano, Saturday, 30/11/2024
📅 30/11/2024
14:00
Pennarossa Pennarossa
4.33
X
3.90
SP Domagnano SP Domagnano
1.60

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Pennarossa x SP Domagnano:

🔮 SP Domagnano wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on SP Domagnano, you can win up to $800.00!

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The main points for the tip for Pennarossa x SP Domagnano:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Pennarossa in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-212.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on SP Domagnano in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against SP Domagnano, Pennarossa scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, SP Domagnano conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

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Analysis from Pennarossa x SP Domagnano for the San Marino Campionato – 30 of November

🏟️ Pennarossa X SP Domagnano – San Marino Campionato
📅 30 of November, 2024 – 14:00
🔵 Pennarossa – Winning probability: 7.73% | Fair line: 12.93
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 18.23% | Fair line: 5.49
🔴 SP Domagnano – Winning probability: 74.04% | Fair line: 1.35
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +1.25 Pennarossa
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Pennarossa and SP Domagnano.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1229690 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Pennarossa x SP Domagnano

Is it a good idea to bet on Pennarossa?

🔵 Pennarossa: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 7.73% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.33. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 80 times – profiting $266.40;
  • And would lose other 920 times – having a loss of -$920.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$653.60.

Is it worth betting on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 18.23% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.90. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 180 times – having a profit of $522.00;
  • And would lose other 820 times – losing -$820.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$298.00.

Is it worth betting on SP Domagnano?

🔴 SP Domagnano: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 74.04% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.60. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 740 times – this would give you a profit of $444.00
  • And would lose other 260 times – having a loss of -$260.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$184.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Pennarossa x SP Domagnano

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +1.25 Pennarossa
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Pennarossa x SP Domagnano

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +1.25 Pennarossa, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +1.0 Pennarossa.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -1.0 SP Domagnano.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Pennarossa x SP Domagnano

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.00 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 3.00 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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