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Home » Predictions » Penybont x Barry Town Betting tips for February 10 in Wales Premier League
Saturday, 10 February 2024, 12h45 Wales Premier League
Penybont Penybont
PREDICTION Penybont wins Probability 72% 1 X 2
Barry Town Barry Town
ODD: @1.52 Don't miss this prediction! BET NOW Don't miss this prediction!

Penybont x Barry Town Betting tips for February 10 in Wales Premier League

Our betting tip for Penybont x Barry Town, Saturday, 10/2/2024
📅 10/2/2024
12:45
Penybont Penybont
1.52
X
4.15
Barry Town Barry Town
5.05

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Penybont x Barry Town:

🔮 Penybont wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Penybont, you can win up to $760.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Some important points for the tip for Penybont x Barry Town:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Penybont in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-350.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Barry Town in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $105.0.
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against Barry Town, Penybont scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 Penybont matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 5 matches as the away team, Barry Town conceded at least 2 goal(s).
👉 Penybont has won all the last 4 matches playing at home against Barry Town.

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Summary

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Analysis from Penybont x Barry Town for the Wales Premier League – 10 of February

🏟️ Penybont X Barry Town – Wales Premier League
📅 10 of February, 2024 – 12:45
🔵 Penybont – Winning probability: 72.31% | Fair line: 1.38
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 17.85% | Fair line: 5.6
🔴 Barry Town – Winning probability: 9.84% | Fair line: 10.16
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Penybont
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

When the best bet on Penybont x Barry Town is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1054913 matches on the database from our soccer prognostics platform, Betfellows, looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Penybont x Barry Town

Is it worth betting on Penybont?

🔵 Penybont: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 72.31% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.52. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 720 times – having a profit of $374.40;
  • And would lose other 280 times – losing -$280.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$94.40.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 17.85% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.15. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 180 times – having a profit of $567.00;
  • And would have lost other 820 times – with a loss of -$820.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$253.00.

Should you bet on Barry Town?

🔴 Barry Town: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 9.84% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 5.05. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 100 times – profiting $405.00;
  • And would lose other 900 times – having a loss of -$900.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$495.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Penybont x Barry Town

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Penybont
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Penybont x Barry Town

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.5 Penybont, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -1.0 Penybont.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 1.0 Barry Town.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Penybont x Barry Town

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.75 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.75 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves