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Home » Predictions » Others » Penybont x Cardiff MU Betting tips for December 31 in Wales Premier League
Tuesday, 31 December 2024, 17h45 Wales Premier League
Penybont Penybont
PREDICTION Penybont wins Probability 75% 1 X 2
Cardiff MU Cardiff MU
ODD: @1.55 Don't miss this prediction!

Penybont x Cardiff MU Betting tips for December 31 in Wales Premier League

Our betting tip for Penybont x Cardiff MU, Tuesday, 31/12/2024
📅 31/12/2024
17:45
Penybont Penybont
1.55
X
3.95
Cardiff MU Cardiff MU
4.80

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Penybont x Cardiff MU:

🔮 Penybont wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Penybont, you can win up to $775.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Some important points for the tip for Penybont x Cardiff MU:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Penybont in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-50.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Cardiff MU in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $100.0.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Penybont scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Cardiff MU conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 It is not a good time for Cardiff MU as away team: it comes from 3 losses in a row in its last away matches.

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Summary

Looking for another bookie to bet on Penybont x Cardiff MU?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Penybont x Cardiff MU, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Penybont x Cardiff MU for the Wales Premier League – 31 of December

🏟️ Penybont X Cardiff MU – Wales Premier League
📅 31 of December, 2024 – 17:45
🔵 Penybont – Winning probability: 75.21% | Fair line: 1.33
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 13.57% | Fair line: 7.37
🔴 Cardiff MU – Winning probability: 11.21% | Fair line: 8.92
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.25 Penybont
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Penybont x Cardiff MU right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1240909 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Penybont x Cardiff MU

Is betting on Penybont worth it?

🔵 Penybont: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 75.21% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.55. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 750 times – profiting $412.50;
  • And would lose other 250 times – losing -$250.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$162.50.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 13.57% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.95. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 140 times – having a profit of $413.00;
  • And would lose other 860 times – having a loss of -$860.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$447.00.

Is it worth betting on Cardiff MU?

🔴 Cardiff MU: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 11.21%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.80. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 110 times – having a profit of $418.00;
  • And would lose other 890 times – having a loss of -$890.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$472.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Penybont x Cardiff MU

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.25 Penybont
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Penybont x Cardiff MU

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.25 Penybont, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.75 Penybont.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.75 Penybont.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Penybont x Cardiff MU

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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