Persija Jakarta x PSM Makassar Betting tips for September 29 in Indonesia Liga 1

Our betting tip for Persija Jakarta x PSM Makassar, Sunday, 29/9/2024

📅 29/9/2024 09:00

Persija Jakarta 2.10

X 3.16

PSM Makassar 3.15

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Persija Jakarta x PSM Makassar:

👎 Unfortunately, we do not have any positive expected value tips for Persija Jakarta x PSM Makassar

The main points for the tip for Persija Jakarta x PSM Makassar: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Persija Jakarta in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $307.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on PSM Makassar in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-309.0. 👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, PSM Makassar scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team against PSM Makassar, Persija Jakarta scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 6 matches as the away team, PSM Makassar conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Playing as the home team, Persija Jakarta conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 3 head-to-head against PSM Makassar. 👉 In the last 3 road matches, PSM Makassar has not lost any of them. 👉 Persija Jakarta has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against PSM Makassar playing at home.

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Analysis from Persija Jakarta x PSM Makassar for the Indonesia Liga 1 – 29 of September

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Persija Jakarta and PSM Makassar.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1190630 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Persija Jakarta x PSM Makassar

Is betting on Persija Jakarta worth it?

🔵 Persija Jakarta: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 45.4% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.10. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 450 times – profiting $495.00;
• And would have lost other 550 times – with a loss of -$550.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$55.00.

Is betting on draw worth it?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 32.42% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.16. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 320 times – having a profit of $691.20;
• And would have lost other 680 times – with a loss of -$680.00 because of them.

It is a low stake bet, since after all you would have an final expected profit of just 💰$11.20. Which is not even that worthy considering the risk!

Should you bet on PSM Makassar?

🔴 PSM Makassar: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 22.19% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.15. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 220 times – having a profit of $473.00;
• And would lose other 780 times – losing -$780.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$307.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Persija Jakarta x PSM Makassar

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Persija Jakarta
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Persija Jakarta x PSM Makassar

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.5 Persija Jakarta and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Persija Jakarta.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 Persija Jakarta.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Persija Jakarta x PSM Makassar

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.