Perugia x Arezzo Betting tips for November 27 in Italy Serie C Cup

Our betting tip for Perugia x Arezzo, Wednesday, 27/11/2024

📅 27/11/2024 19:30

Perugia 2.48

X 3.00

Arezzo 2.73

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Perugia x Arezzo:

👎 Umm…what a pity! We do not have any positive expected value tips for Perugia x Arezzo

Some important points for the tip for Perugia x Arezzo: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Perugia in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-25.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Arezzo in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $53.0. 👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team against Arezzo, Perugia scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 4 Perugia matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Arezzo conceded at least 2 goal(s). 👉 Perugia has not lost any of the last 3 head-to-head matches against Arezzo playing at home.

Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on Perugia x Arezzo?

Maybe you already have an account on Bet365, but that is not a problem! We, from the Clube da Aposta, have been on this business since 2010 and know which bookies are trustworthy or not. Check out our list of the best betting sites in Kenya from 2024, you just have to click and bet:

Analysis from Perugia x Arezzo for the Italy Serie C Cup – 27 of November

When the best bet on Perugia x Arezzo is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1228778 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Perugia x Arezzo

Is it worth betting on Perugia?

🔵 Perugia: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 41.45% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.48. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 410 times – profiting $606.80;
• And would have lost other 590 times – with a loss of -$590.00 because of them.

Although this bet has some value, notice that the expected profit is just 💰$16.80, which is not worth the risk in our point of view.

Should you bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 20.17% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.00. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 200 times – this would give you a profit of $400.00
• And would have lost other 800 times – with a loss of -$800.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$400.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Arezzo?

🔴 Arezzo: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 38.38%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.73. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 380 times – this would give you a profit of $657.40
• And would have lost other 620 times – with a loss of -$620.00 because of them.

It is a low stake bet, since after all you would have an final expected profit of just 💰$37.40. Which is not even that worthy considering the risk!

Handicaps analysis for the match Perugia x Arezzo

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Perugia
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Perugia x Arezzo

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 Perugia and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 0.0 Perugia.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.0 Perugia.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Perugia x Arezzo

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.