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Home ยป Predictions ยป Others ยป Peterhead x Ayr Betting tips for November 25 in Scotland FA Cup
Saturday, 25 November 2023, 00h00 Scotland FA Cup
Peterhead Peterhead
PREDICTION Ayr Wins Probability 84% 1 X 2
Ayr Ayr
ODD: @1.53 Don't miss this prediction!

Peterhead x Ayr Betting tips for November 25 in Scotland FA Cup

Our betting tip for Peterhead x Ayr, Saturday, 25/11/2023
๐Ÿ“… 25/11/2023
15:00
Peterhead Peterhead
5.25
X
4.00
Ayr Ayr
1.53

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Peterhead x Ayr:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Ayr wins the match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Ayr, you can win up to $765.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

The main points for the tip for Peterhead x Ayr:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Peterhead in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $126.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Ayr in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $490.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the home team, Peterhead scored at least 2 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 6 matches as the away team, Ayr scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 head-to-head matches between Peterhead x Ayr, with Peterhead as the home team, they finished over 2.5 goals.
๐Ÿ‘‰ Ayr did not receive any yellow cards in the last 3 matches as the away team.
๐Ÿ‘‰ Peterhead is good playing home: it has 3 wins in a row in its last matches at home.

๐Ÿ“Š Check out the full analysis on Betfellows: Prognostic for Peterhead x Ayr

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Summary

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Analysis from Peterhead x Ayr for the Scotland FA Cup – 25 of November

๐ŸŸ๏ธ Peterhead X Ayr – Scotland FA Cup
๐Ÿ“… 25 of November, 2023 – 15:00
๐Ÿ”ต Peterhead – Winning probability: 8.33% | Fair line: 12.0
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 7.64% | Fair line: 13.09
๐Ÿ”ด Ayr – Winning probability: 84.02% | Fair line: 1.19
โš– Handicap 1×2: +0.75 Peterhead
โšฝ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Peterhead and Ayr.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1025263 matches on the database from our soccer prognostics platform, Betfellows, looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Peterhead x Ayr

Is betting on Peterhead worth it?

๐Ÿ”ต Peterhead: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 8.33%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 5.25. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 80 times – profiting $340.00;
  • And would lose other 920 times – having a loss of -$920.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$580.00.

Should you bet on draw?

โšช draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 7.64%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.00. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 80 times – profiting $240.00;
  • And would lose other 920 times – having a loss of -$920.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$680.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Ayr?

๐Ÿ”ด Ayr: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 84.02% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.53. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 840 times – profiting $445.20;
  • And would have lost other 160 times – with a loss of -$160.00 because of them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$285.20.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Peterhead x Ayr

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

โš– Handicap 1×2: +0.75 Peterhead
โšฝ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Peterhead x Ayr

โš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.75 Peterhead, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +1.0 Peterhead.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +1.0 Peterhead.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Peterhead x Ayr

โšฝ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.75 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.75 goals.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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