Petrolul Ploiesti x FC Botosani Betting tips for November 24 in Romania Liga I
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24/11/2023 18:30 |
Petrolul Ploiesti 1.62 |
X 3.60 |
FC Botosani 5.00 |
This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Petrolul Ploiesti x FC Botosani:
๐ฎ Petrolul Ploiesti wins the match
๐ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Petrolul Ploiesti, you can win up to $810.00!
The main points for the tip for Petrolul Ploiesti x FC Botosani: ๐ If you had bet $100 on Petrolul Ploiesti in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-338.0. |
๐ Check out the analysis on Betfellows for this match: Full prognostic for Petrolul Ploiesti x FC Botosani
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Analysis from Petrolul Ploiesti x FC Botosani for the Romania Liga I – 24 of November
๐๏ธ Petrolul Ploiesti X FC Botosani – Romania Liga I |
A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Petrolul Ploiesti and FC Botosani.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1024961 matches on the database from our soccer prognostics platform, Betfellows, looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Petrolul Ploiesti x FC Botosani
Is it a good idea to bet on Petrolul Ploiesti?
๐ต Petrolul Ploiesti: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 78.37% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.62. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 780 times – this would give you a profit of $483.60
- And would lose other 220 times – losing -$220.00 with them.
It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of ๐ฐ$263.60.
Is betting on draw worth it?
โช draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 14.22% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.60. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 140 times – this would give you a profit of $364.00
- And would have lost other 860 times – with a loss of -$860.00 because of them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of ๐ฐ-$496.00.
Is betting on FC Botosani worth it?
๐ด FC Botosani: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 7.42%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 5.00. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 70 times – having a profit of $280.00;
- And would lose other 930 times – losing -$930.00 with them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of ๐ฐ-$650.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Petrolul Ploiesti x FC Botosani
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on soccer betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:
โ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Petrolul Ploiesti
โฝ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Petrolul Ploiesti x FC Botosani
โ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.75 Petrolul Ploiesti, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.75 Petrolul Ploiesti.
The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Petrolul Ploiesti x FC Botosani
โฝ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.