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Home Β» Predictions Β» Others Β» Phonix Lubeck x Werder Bremen II Betting tips for December 1 in Germany Regionalliga North
Sunday, 01 December 2024, 13h00 Germany Regionalliga North
Phonix Lubeck Phonix Lubeck
PREDICTION No tip
Werder Bremen II Werder Bremen II
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Phonix Lubeck x Werder Bremen II Betting tips for December 1 in Germany Regionalliga North

Our betting tip for Phonix Lubeck x Werder Bremen II, Sunday, 1/12/2024
πŸ“… 1/12/2024
13:00
Phonix Lubeck Phonix Lubeck
1.94
X
3.90
Werder Bremen II Werder Bremen II
2.98

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Phonix Lubeck x Werder Bremen II:

πŸ‘Ž Umm…what a pity! We do not have any positive expected value tips for Phonix Lubeck x Werder Bremen II

Some important points for the tip for Phonix Lubeck x Werder Bremen II:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Phonix Lubeck in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-345.0.
πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Werder Bremen II in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-79.0.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 8 matches as the home team, Phonix Lubeck conceded at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 5 matches as the away team, Werder Bremen II conceded at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ It is not a good time for Werder Bremen II as away team: it comes from 3 losses in a row in its last away matches.

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Summary

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Analysis from Phonix Lubeck x Werder Bremen II for the Germany Regionalliga North – 1 of December

🏟️ Phonix Lubeck X Werder Bremen II – Germany Regionalliga North
πŸ“… 1 of December, 2024 – 13:00
πŸ”΅ Phonix Lubeck – Winning probability: 46.65% | Fair line: 2.14
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 26.05% | Fair line: 3.84
πŸ”΄ Werder Bremen II – Winning probability: 27.30% | Fair line: 3.66
βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Phonix Lubeck
⚽ Expected goals: 3.75 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Phonix Lubeck x Werder Bremen II right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1230121 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Phonix Lubeck x Werder Bremen II

Should you bet on Phonix Lubeck?

πŸ”΅ Phonix Lubeck: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 46.65% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.94. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 470 times – profiting $441.80;
  • And would lose other 530 times – having a loss of -$530.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$88.20.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

βšͺ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 26.05% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.90. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 260 times – profiting $754.00;
  • And would lose other 740 times – having a loss of -$740.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$14.00.

Should you bet on Werder Bremen II?

πŸ”΄ Werder Bremen II: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 27.3% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.98. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 270 times – having a profit of $534.60;
  • And would have lost other 730 times – with a loss of -$730.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of πŸ’°-$195.40.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Phonix Lubeck x Werder Bremen II

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Phonix Lubeck
⚽ Expected goals: 3.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Phonix Lubeck x Werder Bremen II

βš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 Phonix Lubeck, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.5 Phonix Lubeck.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.5 Werder Bremen II.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Phonix Lubeck x Werder Bremen II

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.50 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 3.50 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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