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Home » Predictions » Others » Piacenza x Tropical Coriano Betting tips for December 14 in Italy Serie D
Sunday, 14 December 2025, 13h30 Italy Serie D
Piacenza Piacenza
PREDICTION Tropical Coriano Wins Probability 29% 1 X 2
Tropical Coriano Tropical Coriano
ODD: @2.7
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Piacenza x Tropical Coriano Betting tips for December 14 in Italy Serie D

Our betting tip for Piacenza x Tropical Coriano, Sunday, 14/12/2025
📅 14/12/2025
13:30
Piacenza Piacenza
2.25
X
3.50
Tropical Coriano Tropical Coriano
2.70

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Piacenza x Tropical Coriano:

🔮 Tropical Coriano wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Tropical Coriano, you can win up to $1350.00!

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Important information for your tip for Piacenza x Tropical Coriano:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Piacenza in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-24.0.
👉 In the last 3 Piacenza matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 3 Tropical Coriano matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, Tropical Coriano conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

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Analysis from Piacenza x Tropical Coriano for the Italy Serie D – 14 of December

🏟️ Piacenza X Tropical Coriano – Italy Serie D
📅 14 of December, 2025 – 13:30
🔵 Piacenza – Winning probability: 47.75% | Fair line: 2.09
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 22.43% | Fair line: 4.46
🔴 Tropical Coriano – Winning probability: 29.82% | Fair line: 3.35
⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Piacenza
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks

When the best bet on Piacenza x Tropical Coriano is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1452657 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Piacenza x Tropical Coriano

Should you bet on Piacenza?

🔵 Piacenza: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 47.75%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.25. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 480 times – this would give you a profit of $600.00
  • And would lose other 520 times – having a loss of -$520.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$80.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 22.43%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.50. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 220 times – profiting $550.00;
  • And would lose other 780 times – having a loss of -$780.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$230.00.

Should you bet on Tropical Coriano?

🔴 Tropical Coriano: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 29.82%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.70. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 300 times – profiting $510.00;
  • And would have lost other 700 times – with a loss of -$700.00 because of them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$190.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Piacenza x Tropical Coriano

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Piacenza
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Piacenza x Tropical Coriano

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 0.0 Piacenza, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -1.5 Piacenza.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 1.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 1.5 Tropical Coriano.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Piacenza x Tropical Coriano

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

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Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves