Piast Gliwice x Lech Poznan Betting tips for November 29 in Poland Ekstraklasa
π
29/11/2024 19:30 |
Piast Gliwice 3.22 |
X 3.10 |
Lech Poznan 2.10 |
This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Piast Gliwice x Lech Poznan:
π Unfortunately, we do not have any positive expected value tips for Piast Gliwice x Lech Poznan
Important information for your tip for Piast Gliwice x Lech Poznan: π If you had bet $100 on Piast Gliwice in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-325.0. |
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Analysis from Piast Gliwice x Lech Poznan for the Poland Ekstraklasa – 29 of November
ποΈ Piast Gliwice X Lech Poznan – Poland Ekstraklasa |
When the best bet on Piast Gliwice x Lech Poznan is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1229376 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Piast Gliwice x Lech Poznan
Is betting on Piast Gliwice worth it?
π΅ Piast Gliwice: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 19.77% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.22. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 200 times – having a profit of $444.00;
- And would have lost other 800 times – with a loss of -$800.00 because of them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of π°-$356.00.
Is it worth betting on draw?
βͺ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 27.29% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.10. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 270 times – profiting $567.00;
- And would lose other 730 times – having a loss of -$730.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of π°-$163.00.
Is it a good idea to bet on Lech Poznan?
π΄ Lech Poznan: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 52.94% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.10. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 530 times – having a profit of $583.00;
- And would have lost other 470 times – with a loss of -$470.00 because of them.
It is a low stake bet, since after all you would have an final expected profit of just π°$113.00. Which is not even that worthy considering the risk!
Handicaps analysis for the match Piast Gliwice x Lech Poznan
Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.
These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:
β Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Piast Gliwice
β½ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Piast Gliwice x Lech Poznan
β Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.5 Piast Gliwice and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.25 Piast Gliwice.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 Lech Poznan.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Piast Gliwice x Lech Poznan
β½ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.