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Home ยป Predictions ยป Others ยป Pisa x Brescia Betting tips for November 25 in Italy Serie B
Saturday, 25 November 2023, 00h00 Italy Serie B
Pisa Pisa
PREDICTION Pisa wins Probability 13% 1 X 2
Brescia Brescia
ODD: @2.09 Don't miss this prediction!

Pisa x Brescia Betting tips for November 25 in Italy Serie B

Our betting tip for Pisa x Brescia, Saturday, 25/11/2023
๐Ÿ“… 25/11/2023
15:15
Pisa Pisa
2.09
X
3.20
Brescia Brescia
3.50

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Pisa x Brescia:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Pisa wins the match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Pisa, you can win up to $1045.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Some important points for the tip for Pisa x Brescia:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Pisa in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-275.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Brescia in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $158.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 7 matches as the home team, Pisa scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 6 matches as the home team, Pisa conceded at least 1 goal(s).

๐Ÿ“Š Check out the analysis on Betfellows for this match: Full prognostic for Pisa x Brescia

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Summary

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Analysis from Pisa x Brescia for the Italy Serie B – 25 of November

๐ŸŸ๏ธ Pisa X Brescia – Italy Serie B
๐Ÿ“… 25 of November, 2023 – 15:15
๐Ÿ”ต Pisa – Winning probability: 64.88% | Fair line: 1.54
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 22.12% | Fair line: 4.52
๐Ÿ”ด Brescia – Winning probability: 13.00% | Fair line: 7.69
โš– Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Pisa
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Pisa and Brescia.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1024927 matches from Betfellows database, our collaborative prediction platform, seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Pisa x Brescia

Is it a good idea to bet on Pisa?

๐Ÿ”ต Pisa: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 64.88% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.09. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 650 times – having a profit of $708.50;
  • And would lose other 350 times – having a loss of -$350.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$358.50.

Is it worth betting on draw?

โšช draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 22.12% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.20. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 220 times – profiting $484.00;
  • And would lose other 780 times – having a loss of -$780.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$296.00.

Is betting on Brescia worth it?

๐Ÿ”ด Brescia: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 13.0% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.50. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 130 times – having a profit of $325.00;
  • And would lose other 870 times – losing -$870.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$545.00.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Pisa x Brescia

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on soccer betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

โš– Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Pisa
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Pisa x Brescia

โš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 Pisa, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Pisa.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Pisa x Brescia

โšฝ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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