Pisa x Cosenza Betting tips for December 1 in Italy Serie B

Our betting tip for Pisa x Cosenza, Sunday, 1/12/2024

📅 1/12/2024 14:00

Pisa 1.90

X 3.30

Cosenza 4.00

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Pisa x Cosenza:

👎 Unfortunately, we do not have any positive expected value tips for Pisa x Cosenza

The main points for the tip for Pisa x Cosenza: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Pisa in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $151.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Cosenza in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $150.0. 👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against Cosenza, Pisa scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Playing as the home team, Pisa conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 3 head-to-head against Cosenza. 👉 In the last 5 road matches, Cosenza has not lost any of them.

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Analysis from Pisa x Cosenza for the Italy Serie B – 1 of December

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Pisa x Cosenza right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1230121 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Pisa x Cosenza

Is betting on Pisa worth it?

🔵 Pisa: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 55.01%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.90. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 550 times – this would give you a profit of $495.00
• And would lose other 450 times – losing -$450.00 with them.

Even if it is a positive expected value bet, the expected profit is just 💰$45.00 which is not worth the risk in our opinion.

Should you bet on draw?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 27.67%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.30. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 280 times – having a profit of $644.00;
• And would lose other 720 times – having a loss of -$720.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$76.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Cosenza?

🔴 Cosenza: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 17.31% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.00. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 170 times – profiting $510.00;
• And would have lost other 830 times – with a loss of -$830.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$320.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Pisa x Cosenza

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Pisa
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Pisa x Cosenza

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.5 Pisa, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.5 Pisa.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Pisa x Cosenza

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.