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Home ยป Predictions ยป Others ยป Platinum City Rovers x Upington City Betting tips for November 25 in South Africa National Div 1
Saturday, 25 November 2023, 00h00 South Africa National Div 1
Platinum City Rovers Platinum City Rovers
PREDICTION Draw Match Probability 42% 1 X 2
Upington City Upington City
ODD: @2.9 Don't miss this prediction! BET NOW Don't miss this prediction!

Platinum City Rovers x Upington City Betting tips for November 25 in South Africa National Div 1

Our betting tip for Platinum City Rovers x Upington City, Saturday, 25/11/2023
๐Ÿ“… 25/11/2023
13:30
Platinum City Rovers Platinum City Rovers
2.85
X
2.90
Upington City Upington City
2.37

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Platinum City Rovers x Upington City:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Tied Match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on a tie, you can win up to $1450.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

The main points for the tip for Platinum City Rovers x Upington City:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Platinum City Rovers in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $50.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Upington City in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the away team, Upington City scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 Platinum City Rovers matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 6 Upington City matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 6 matches as the away team, Upington City conceded at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 road matches, Upington City has not lost any of them.

๐Ÿ“Š Check out the analysis on Betfellows for this match: Full prognostic for Platinum City Rovers x Upington City

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Summary

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Analysis from Platinum City Rovers x Upington City for the South Africa National Div 1 – 25 of November

๐ŸŸ๏ธ Platinum City Rovers X Upington City – South Africa National Div 1
๐Ÿ“… 25 of November, 2023 – 13:30
๐Ÿ”ต Platinum City Rovers – Winning probability: 19.72% | Fair line: 5.07
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 38.09% | Fair line: 2.63
๐Ÿ”ด Upington City – Winning probability: 42.19% | Fair line: 2.37
โš– Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Platinum City Rovers
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Platinum City Rovers x Upington City right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1025263 matches on the database from our soccer prognostics platform, Betfellows, looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Platinum City Rovers x Upington City

Is betting on Platinum City Rovers worth it?

๐Ÿ”ต Platinum City Rovers: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 19.72% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.85. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 200 times – this would give you a profit of $370.00
  • And would have lost other 800 times – with a loss of -$800.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$430.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

โšช draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 38.09%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.90. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 380 times – profiting $722.00;
  • And would lose other 620 times – having a loss of -$620.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$102.00.

Should you bet on Upington City?

๐Ÿ”ด Upington City: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 42.19% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.37. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 420 times – this would give you a profit of $575.40
  • And would lose other 580 times – having a loss of -$580.00 with them.

Although this bet has some value, notice that the expected profit is just ๐Ÿ’ฐ$4.60, which is not worth the risk in our point of view.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Platinum City Rovers x Upington City

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

โš– Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Platinum City Rovers
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Platinum City Rovers x Upington City

โš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.25 Platinum City Rovers and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.25 Platinum City Rovers.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Platinum City Rovers x Upington City

โšฝ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.00 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves