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Home ยป Predictions ยป Others ยป Plus Ultra x El Palmar CF Estrella Grana Betting tips for November 25 in Spain Tercera Group 13
Saturday, 25 November 2023, 00h00 Spain Tercera Group 13
Plus Ultra Plus Ultra
PREDICTION Draw Match Probability 44% 1 X 2
El Palmar CF Estrella Grana El Palmar CF Estrella Grana
ODD: @3.1 Don't miss this prediction! BET NOW Don't miss this prediction!

Plus Ultra x El Palmar CF Estrella Grana Betting tips for November 25 in Spain Tercera Group 13

Our betting tip for Plus Ultra x El Palmar CF Estrella Grana, Saturday, 25/11/2023
๐Ÿ“… 25/11/2023
15:00
Plus Ultra Plus Ultra
2.75
X
3.10
El Palmar CF Estrella Grana El Palmar CF Estrella Grana
2.30

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Plus Ultra x El Palmar CF Estrella Grana:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Tied Match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on a tie, you can win up to $1550.00!

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Important information for your tip for Plus Ultra x El Palmar CF Estrella Grana:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Plus Ultra in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $140.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on El Palmar CF Estrella Grana in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $350.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 Plus Ultra matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the away team, El Palmar CF Estrella Grana conceded at least 1 goal(s).

๐Ÿ“Š Check out the full analysis on Betfellows: Prognostic for Plus Ultra x El Palmar CF Estrella Grana

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Summary

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Analysis from Plus Ultra x El Palmar CF Estrella Grana for the Spain Tercera Group 13 – 25 of November

๐ŸŸ๏ธ Plus Ultra X El Palmar CF Estrella Grana – Spain Tercera Group 13
๐Ÿ“… 25 of November, 2023 – 15:00
๐Ÿ”ต Plus Ultra – Winning probability: 19.42% | Fair line: 5.15
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 35.94% | Fair line: 2.78
๐Ÿ”ด El Palmar CF Estrella Grana – Winning probability: 44.64% | Fair line: 2.24
โš– Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Plus Ultra
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Plus Ultra x El Palmar CF Estrella Grana right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1025263 matches on the database from our soccer prognostics platform, Betfellows, looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Plus Ultra x El Palmar CF Estrella Grana

Should you bet on Plus Ultra?

๐Ÿ”ต Plus Ultra: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 19.42% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.75. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 190 times – profiting $332.50;
  • And would have lost other 810 times – with a loss of -$810.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$477.50.

Is betting on draw worth it?

โšช draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 35.94% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.10. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 360 times – this would give you a profit of $756.00
  • And would lose other 640 times – losing -$640.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$116.00.

Should you bet on El Palmar CF Estrella Grana?

๐Ÿ”ด El Palmar CF Estrella Grana: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 44.64% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.30. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 450 times – having a profit of $585.00;
  • And would lose other 550 times – losing -$550.00 with them.

It is a low stake bet, since after all you would have an final expected profit of just ๐Ÿ’ฐ$35.00. Which is not even that worthy considering the risk!

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Handicaps analysis for the match Plus Ultra x El Palmar CF Estrella Grana

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on soccer betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

โš– Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Plus Ultra
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Plus Ultra x El Palmar CF Estrella Grana

โš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.25 Plus Ultra and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.25 Plus Ultra.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Plus Ultra x El Palmar CF Estrella Grana

โšฝ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves