Plymouth x Portsmouth Betting tips for November 5 in England Championship

Our betting tip for Plymouth x Portsmouth, Tuesday, 5/11/2024

📅 5/11/2024 20:00

Plymouth 2.26

X 3.50

Portsmouth 2.99

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Plymouth x Portsmouth:

🔮 Plymouth wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Plymouth, you can win up to $1130.00!

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Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

Some important points for the tip for Plymouth x Portsmouth: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Plymouth in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $680.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Portsmouth in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-67.0. 👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, Plymouth scored at least 2 goal(s). 👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team against Portsmouth, Plymouth scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 4 Plymouth matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 6 matches as the home team, Plymouth conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 8 matches as the away team, Portsmouth conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Plymouth has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against Portsmouth playing at home.

Do you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Plymouth x Portsmouth?

If you already have an account on Bet365 or want other options of bookmakers, do not worry! This list below was carefully created taking you into consideration. These are the best betting sites analysed by us in 2024. You just have to click, deposit and bet:

Analysis from Plymouth x Portsmouth for the England Championship – 5 of November

When the best bet on Plymouth x Portsmouth is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1216337 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Plymouth x Portsmouth

Is betting on Plymouth worth it?

🔵 Plymouth: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 56.21% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.26. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 560 times – this would give you a profit of $705.60
• And would lose other 440 times – having a loss of -$440.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$265.60.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 19.34% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.50. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 190 times – this would give you a profit of $475.00
• And would lose other 810 times – having a loss of -$810.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$335.00.

Is betting on Portsmouth worth it?

🔴 Portsmouth: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 24.45% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.99. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 240 times – this would give you a profit of $477.60
• And would have lost other 760 times – with a loss of -$760.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$282.40.

Handicaps analysis for the match Plymouth x Portsmouth

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Plymouth
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Plymouth x Portsmouth

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.5 Plymouth, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Plymouth.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 Plymouth.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Plymouth x Portsmouth

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.75 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 2.75 goals.