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Home ยป Predictions ยป Others ยป Plymouth x Sunderland Betting tips for November 25 in England Championship
Saturday, 25 November 2023, 00h00 England Championship
Plymouth Plymouth
PREDICTION Sunderland Wins Probability 64% 1 X 2
Sunderland Sunderland
ODD: @2.1 Don't miss this prediction! BET NOW Don't miss this prediction!

Plymouth x Sunderland Betting tips for November 25 in England Championship

Our betting tip for Plymouth x Sunderland, Saturday, 25/11/2023
๐Ÿ“… 25/11/2023
15:00
Plymouth Plymouth
3.03
X
3.69
Sunderland Sunderland
2.10

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Plymouth x Sunderland:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Sunderland wins the match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Sunderland, you can win up to $1050.00!

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Important information for your tip for Plymouth x Sunderland:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Plymouth in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $65.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Sunderland in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $20.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the home team, Plymouth scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 Plymouth matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals.

๐Ÿ“Š You can also check out the full analysis on Betfellows: Prognostic for Plymouth x Sunderland

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Summary

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Analysis from Plymouth x Sunderland for the England Championship – 25 of November

๐ŸŸ๏ธ Plymouth X Sunderland – England Championship
๐Ÿ“… 25 of November, 2023 – 15:00
๐Ÿ”ต Plymouth – Winning probability: 14.78% | Fair line: 6.76
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 20.40% | Fair line: 4.9
๐Ÿ”ด Sunderland – Winning probability: 64.82% | Fair line: 1.54
โš– Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Plymouth
โšฝ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Plymouth and Sunderland.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1024927 matches from Betfellows database, our collaborative prediction platform, seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Plymouth x Sunderland

Is it a good idea to bet on Plymouth?

๐Ÿ”ต Plymouth: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 14.78% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.03. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 150 times – having a profit of $304.50;
  • And would lose other 850 times – losing -$850.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$545.50.

Should you bet on draw?

โšช draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 20.4%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.69. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 200 times – profiting $538.00;
  • And would lose other 800 times – losing -$800.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$262.00.

Is betting on Sunderland worth it?

๐Ÿ”ด Sunderland: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 64.82%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.10. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 650 times – profiting $715.00;
  • And would lose other 350 times – losing -$350.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$365.00.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Plymouth x Sunderland

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

โš– Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Plymouth
โšฝ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Plymouth x Sunderland

โš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.25 Plymouth, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.25 Plymouth.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Plymouth x Sunderland

โšฝ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.75 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.75 goals.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves