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Home ยป Predictions ยป Others ยป Podhale Nowy Targ x Star Starachowice Betting tips for November 25 in Poland III Liga
Saturday, 25 November 2023, 00h00 Poland III Liga
Podhale Nowy Targ Podhale Nowy Targ
PREDICTION Star Starachowice Wins Probability 58% 1 X 2
Star Starachowice Star Starachowice
ODD: @1.99 Don't miss this prediction! BET NOW Don't miss this prediction!

Podhale Nowy Targ x Star Starachowice Betting tips for November 25 in Poland III Liga

Our betting tip for Podhale Nowy Targ x Star Starachowice, Saturday, 25/11/2023
๐Ÿ“… 25/11/2023
11:00
Podhale Nowy Targ Podhale Nowy Targ
3.01
X
3.58
Star Starachowice Star Starachowice
1.99

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Podhale Nowy Targ x Star Starachowice:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Star Starachowice wins the match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Star Starachowice, you can win up to $995.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

The main points for the tip for Podhale Nowy Targ x Star Starachowice:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Podhale Nowy Targ in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-500.
๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Star Starachowice in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $97.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 4 matches as the away team, Star Starachowice scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 4 matches as the home team, Podhale Nowy Targ conceded at least 1 goal(s).

๐Ÿ“Š You can also check out the full analysis on Betfellows: Prognostic for Podhale Nowy Targ x Star Starachowice

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Summary

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Analysis from Podhale Nowy Targ x Star Starachowice for the Poland III Liga – 25 of November

๐ŸŸ๏ธ Podhale Nowy Targ X Star Starachowice – Poland III Liga
๐Ÿ“… 25 of November, 2023 – 11:00
๐Ÿ”ต Podhale Nowy Targ – Winning probability: 19.73% | Fair line: 5.07
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 21.87% | Fair line: 4.57
๐Ÿ”ด Star Starachowice – Winning probability: 58.40% | Fair line: 1.71
โš– Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Podhale Nowy Targ
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks

When the best bet on Podhale Nowy Targ x Star Starachowice is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1025263 matches on the betting prognostics platform Betfellows , in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Podhale Nowy Targ x Star Starachowice

Is it a good idea to bet on Podhale Nowy Targ?

๐Ÿ”ต Podhale Nowy Targ: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 19.73% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.01. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 200 times – having a profit of $402.00;
  • And would lose other 800 times – losing -$800.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$398.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

โšช draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 21.87% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.58. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 220 times – profiting $567.60;
  • And would lose other 780 times – losing -$780.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$212.40.

Is it a good idea to bet on Star Starachowice?

๐Ÿ”ด Star Starachowice: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 58.4% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.99. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 580 times – profiting $574.20;
  • And would have lost other 420 times – with a loss of -$420.00 because of them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$154.20.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Podhale Nowy Targ x Star Starachowice

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

โš– Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Podhale Nowy Targ
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Podhale Nowy Targ x Star Starachowice

โš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.5 Podhale Nowy Targ and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.25 Podhale Nowy Targ.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 Star Starachowice.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Podhale Nowy Targ x Star Starachowice

โšฝ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.75 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 2.75 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves