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Home Β» Predictions Β» Others Β» Pogon Nowe Skalmierzyce x Flota Swinoujscie Betting tips for November 25 in Poland III Liga
Saturday, 25 November 2023, 00h00 Poland III Liga
Pogon Nowe Skalmierzyce Pogon Nowe Skalmierzyce
PREDICTION No tip
Flota Swinoujscie Flota Swinoujscie
Don't miss this prediction! BET NOW Don't miss this prediction!

Pogon Nowe Skalmierzyce x Flota Swinoujscie Betting tips for November 25 in Poland III Liga

Our betting tip for Pogon Nowe Skalmierzyce x Flota Swinoujscie, Saturday, 25/11/2023
πŸ“… 25/11/2023
11:00
Pogon Nowe Skalmierzyce Pogon Nowe Skalmierzyce
1.63
X
3.98
Flota Swinoujscie Flota Swinoujscie
3.88

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Pogon Nowe Skalmierzyce x Flota Swinoujscie:

πŸ‘Ž Umm…too bad! We did not find any positive expected value bets for Pogon Nowe Skalmierzyce x Flota Swinoujscie

Some important points for the tip for Pogon Nowe Skalmierzyce x Flota Swinoujscie:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Pogon Nowe Skalmierzyce in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-202.0.
πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Flota Swinoujscie in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $653.0.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 6 matches as the away team, Flota Swinoujscie scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 7 matches as the home team, Pogon Nowe Skalmierzyce conceded at least 2 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ Flota Swinoujscie is hard to beat as a visitor: it has 4 wins in a row in its last road matches.

πŸ“Š Check out the analysis from this match on Betfellows: Complete prognostic for Pogon Nowe Skalmierzyce x Flota Swinoujscie

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Summary

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Analysis from Pogon Nowe Skalmierzyce x Flota Swinoujscie for the Poland III Liga – 25 of November

🏟️ Pogon Nowe Skalmierzyce X Flota Swinoujscie – Poland III Liga
πŸ“… 25 of November, 2023 – 11:00
πŸ”΅ Pogon Nowe Skalmierzyce – Winning probability: 55.15% | Fair line: 1.81
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 24.33% | Fair line: 4.11
πŸ”΄ Flota Swinoujscie – Winning probability: 20.52% | Fair line: 4.87
βš– Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Pogon Nowe Skalmierzyce
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks

When the best bet on Pogon Nowe Skalmierzyce x Flota Swinoujscie is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1025263 matches from Betfellows database, our collaborative prediction platform, seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Pogon Nowe Skalmierzyce x Flota Swinoujscie

Is it a good idea to bet on Pogon Nowe Skalmierzyce?

πŸ”΅ Pogon Nowe Skalmierzyce: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 55.15%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.63. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 550 times – having a profit of $346.50;
  • And would lose other 450 times – losing -$450.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of πŸ’°-$103.50.

Is it worth betting on draw?

βšͺ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 24.33% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.98. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 240 times – having a profit of $715.20;
  • And would lose other 760 times – losing -$760.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$44.80.

Is it worth betting on Flota Swinoujscie?

πŸ”΄ Flota Swinoujscie: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 20.52% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.88. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 210 times – this would give you a profit of $604.80
  • And would lose other 790 times – having a loss of -$790.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of πŸ’°-$185.20.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Pogon Nowe Skalmierzyce x Flota Swinoujscie

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on soccer betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

βš– Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Pogon Nowe Skalmierzyce
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Pogon Nowe Skalmierzyce x Flota Swinoujscie

βš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 0.0 Pogon Nowe Skalmierzyce, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.75 Pogon Nowe Skalmierzyce.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.75, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.75 Flota Swinoujscie.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Pogon Nowe Skalmierzyce x Flota Swinoujscie

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.00 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 3.00 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves