Pogon Szczecin x Cracovia Krakow Betting tips for March 14 in Poland Ekstraklasa

Our betting tip for Pogon Szczecin x Cracovia Krakow, Friday, 14/3/2025

📅 14/3/2025
19:30

Pogon Szczecin
1.75

X
3.40

Cracovia Krakow

4.55

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Pogon Szczecin x Cracovia Krakow:

🔮 Pogon Szczecin wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Pogon Szczecin, you can win up to $875.00!

Make this bet on Bet365 now!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com

The main points for the tip for Pogon Szczecin x Cracovia Krakow:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Pogon Szczecin in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $120.0.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Cracovia Krakow scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against Cracovia Krakow, Pogon Szczecin scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Playing as the home team, Pogon Szczecin conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 3 head-to-head against Cracovia Krakow.
👉 In the last 4 road matches, Cracovia Krakow has not lost any of them.
👉 Pogon Szczecin has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against Cracovia Krakow playing at home.

Summary

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Analysis from Pogon Szczecin x Cracovia Krakow for the Poland Ekstraklasa – 14 of March

🏟️ Pogon Szczecin X Cracovia Krakow – Poland Ekstraklasa
📅 14 of March, 2025 – 19:30
🔵 Pogon Szczecin – Winning probability: 58.28% | Fair line: 1.72
⚪ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 23.58% | Fair line: 4.24
🔴 Cracovia Krakow – Winning probability: 18.13% | Fair line: 5.51
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Pogon Szczecin
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.25 corner kicks

When the best bet on Pogon Szczecin x Cracovia Krakow is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1280623 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Pogon Szczecin x Cracovia Krakow

Is it a good idea to bet on Pogon Szczecin?

🔵 Pogon Szczecin: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 58.28% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.75. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

Would hit 580 times – this would give you a profit of $435.00
And would lose other 420 times – losing -$420.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$15.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 23.58%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.40. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

Would hit 240 times – profiting $576.00;
And would lose other 760 times – losing -$760.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$184.00.

Is it worth betting on Cracovia Krakow?

🔴 Cracovia Krakow: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 18.13%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.55. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

Would hit 180 times – this would give you a profit of $639.00
And would have lost other 820 times – with a loss of -$820.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$181.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Pogon Szczecin x Cracovia Krakow

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Pogon Szczecin
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Pogon Szczecin x Cracovia Krakow

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.5 Pogon Szczecin, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.75 Pogon Szczecin.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.75 Cracovia Krakow.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Pogon Szczecin x Cracovia Krakow

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.