Polonia Bytom x Olimpia Grudziadz Betting tips for November 25 in Poland II Liga

Our betting tip for Polonia Bytom x Olimpia Grudziadz, Saturday, 25/11/2023

📅 25/11/2023 16:00

Polonia Bytom 2.20

X 3.20

Olimpia Grudziadz 2.88

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Polonia Bytom x Olimpia Grudziadz:

🔮 Tied Match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on a tie, you can win up to $1600.00!

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Some important points for the tip for Polonia Bytom x Olimpia Grudziadz: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Polonia Bytom in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-300.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Olimpia Grudziadz in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500. 👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, Polonia Bytom scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 Polonia Bytom matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 8 matches as the home team, Polonia Bytom conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 8 matches as the away team, Olimpia Grudziadz conceded at least 1 goal(s).

📊 Check out the analysis from this match on Betfellows: Complete prognostic for Polonia Bytom x Olimpia Grudziadz

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Analysis from Polonia Bytom x Olimpia Grudziadz for the Poland II Liga – 25 of November

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Polonia Bytom x Olimpia Grudziadz right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1025263 matches on the database from our soccer prognostics platform, Betfellows, looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Polonia Bytom x Olimpia Grudziadz

Should you bet on Polonia Bytom?

🔵 Polonia Bytom: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 39.78% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.20. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 400 times – having a profit of $480.00;
• And would lose other 600 times – losing -$600.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$120.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 31.92%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.20. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 320 times – this would give you a profit of $704.00
• And would lose other 680 times – having a loss of -$680.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$24.00.

Is it worth betting on Olimpia Grudziadz?

🔴 Olimpia Grudziadz: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 28.3% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.88. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 280 times – profiting $526.40;
• And would lose other 720 times – losing -$720.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$193.60.

Handicaps analysis for the match Polonia Bytom x Olimpia Grudziadz

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on soccer betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Polonia Bytom
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Polonia Bytom x Olimpia Grudziadz

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 0.0 Polonia Bytom, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Polonia Bytom.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.25 Olimpia Grudziadz.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Polonia Bytom x Olimpia Grudziadz

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.