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Home Β» Predictions Β» Others Β» Ponferradina B x CD Laguna de Duero Betting tips for November 25 in Spain Tercera Group 8
Saturday, 25 November 2023, 00h00 Spain Tercera Group 8
Ponferradina B Ponferradina B
PREDICTION No tip
CD Laguna de Duero CD Laguna de Duero
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Ponferradina B x CD Laguna de Duero Betting tips for November 25 in Spain Tercera Group 8

Our betting tip for Ponferradina B x CD Laguna de Duero, Saturday, 25/11/2023
πŸ“… 25/11/2023
14:45
Ponferradina B Ponferradina B
2.15
X
3.22
CD Laguna de Duero CD Laguna de Duero
2.95

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Ponferradina B x CD Laguna de Duero:

πŸ‘Ž Umm…too bad! We did not find any positive expected value bets for Ponferradina B x CD Laguna de Duero

The main points for the tip for Ponferradina B x CD Laguna de Duero:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Ponferradina B in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-500.
πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on CD Laguna de Duero in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the away team, CD Laguna de Duero scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 7 matches as the home team, Ponferradina B conceded at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 5 matches as the away team, CD Laguna de Duero conceded at least 1 goal(s).

πŸ“Š Check out the full analysis on Betfellows: Prognostic for Ponferradina B x CD Laguna de Duero

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Summary

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Analysis from Ponferradina B x CD Laguna de Duero for the Spain Tercera Group 8 – 25 of November

🏟️ Ponferradina B X CD Laguna de Duero – Spain Tercera Group 8
πŸ“… 25 of November, 2023 – 14:45
πŸ”΅ Ponferradina B – Winning probability: 41.05% | Fair line: 2.44
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 29.63% | Fair line: 3.37
πŸ”΄ CD Laguna de Duero – Winning probability: 29.32% | Fair line: 3.41
βš– Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Ponferradina B
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Ponferradina B x CD Laguna de Duero right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1025263 matches on the betting prognostics platform Betfellows , in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Ponferradina B x CD Laguna de Duero

Is betting on Ponferradina B worth it?

πŸ”΅ Ponferradina B: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 41.05% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.15. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 410 times – this would give you a profit of $471.50
  • And would have lost other 590 times – with a loss of -$590.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$118.50.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

βšͺ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 29.63%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.22. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 300 times – profiting $666.00;
  • And would have lost other 700 times – with a loss of -$700.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of πŸ’°-$34.00.

Is it worth betting on CD Laguna de Duero?

πŸ”΄ CD Laguna de Duero: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 29.32% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.95. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 290 times – having a profit of $565.50;
  • And would have lost other 710 times – with a loss of -$710.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of πŸ’°-$144.50.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Ponferradina B x CD Laguna de Duero

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

βš– Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Ponferradina B
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Ponferradina B x CD Laguna de Duero

βš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 0.0 Ponferradina B and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Ponferradina B.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.25 CD Laguna de Duero.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Ponferradina B x CD Laguna de Duero

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves