Ponferradina x CD Castellon Betting tips for December 5 in Spain Copa del Rey
| 📅 5/12/2024 19:00 |
 Ponferradina3.30 |
X 3.10 |
CD Castellon  2.15 |
This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Ponferradina x CD Castellon:
🔮 CD Castellon wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on CD Castellon, you can win up to $1075.00!
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The main points for the tip for Ponferradina x CD Castellon: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Ponferradina in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-160.0. |
Do you want more options of bookies to bet on Ponferradina x CD Castellon?
If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Ponferradina x CD Castellon, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:
Analysis from Ponferradina x CD Castellon for the Spain Copa del Rey – 5 of December
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🏟️ Ponferradina X CD Castellon – Spain Copa del Rey |
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Ponferradina x CD Castellon right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1232622 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Ponferradina x CD Castellon
Is betting on Ponferradina worth it?
🔵 Ponferradina: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 21.57% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.30. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 220 times – having a profit of $506.00;
- And would lose other 780 times – losing -$780.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$274.00.
Should you bet on draw?
⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 16.77% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.10. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 170 times – profiting $357.00;
- And would lose other 830 times – having a loss of -$830.00 with them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$473.00.
Is it worth betting on CD Castellon?
🔴 CD Castellon: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 61.66% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.15. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 620 times – having a profit of $713.00;
- And would have lost other 380 times – with a loss of -$380.00 because of them.
That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$333.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Ponferradina x CD Castellon
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Ponferradina
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Ponferradina x CD Castellon
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.25 Ponferradina, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.25 Ponferradina.
The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Ponferradina x CD Castellon
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.00 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 1.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.
