Ponte Preta x Brusque Betting tips for October 23 in Brazil Serie B

Our betting tip for Ponte Preta x Brusque, Wednesday, 23/10/2024

📅 23/10/2024 22:00

Ponte Preta 2.05

X 2.99

Brusque 3.90

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Ponte Preta x Brusque:

👎 Unfortunately, we do not have any positive expected value tips for Ponte Preta x Brusque

Some important points for the tip for Ponte Preta x Brusque: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Ponte Preta in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-270.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Brusque in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500. 👉 Brusque did not score any goals in the last 4 matches as away team. 👉 In the last 3 Ponte Preta matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 4 Brusque matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.

Do you want more options of bookies to bet on Ponte Preta x Brusque?

If you already have an account on Bet365 or want other options of bookmakers, do not worry! This list below was carefully created taking you into consideration. These are the best betting sites analysed by us in 2024. You just have to click, deposit and bet:

Analysis from Ponte Preta x Brusque for the Brazil Serie B – 23 of October

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Ponte Preta and Brusque.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1207665 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Ponte Preta x Brusque

Should you bet on Ponte Preta?

🔵 Ponte Preta: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 51.03% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.05. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 510 times – profiting $535.50;
• And would lose other 490 times – losing -$490.00 with them.

Although this bet has some value, notice that the expected profit is just 💰$45.50, which is not worth the risk in our point of view.

Is betting on draw worth it?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 31.14% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.99. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 310 times – this would give you a profit of $616.90
• And would lose other 690 times – losing -$690.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$73.10.

Should you bet on Brusque?

🔴 Brusque: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 17.83% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.90. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 180 times – profiting $522.00;
• And would have lost other 820 times – with a loss of -$820.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$298.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Ponte Preta x Brusque

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Ponte Preta
⚽ Expected goals: 2.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Ponte Preta x Brusque

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 Ponte Preta and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.5 Ponte Preta.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.5 Brusque.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Ponte Preta x Brusque

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.00 goals.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.