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Home ยป Predictions ยป Others ยป Ponte Preta x CRB Betting tips for November 25 in Brazil Serie B
Saturday, 25 November 2023, 00h00 Brazil Serie B
Ponte Preta Ponte Preta
PREDICTION Draw Match Probability 17% 1 X 2
CRB CRB
ODD: @3.25 Don't miss this prediction! BET NOW Don't miss this prediction!

Ponte Preta x CRB Betting tips for November 25 in Brazil Serie B

Our betting tip for Ponte Preta x CRB, Saturday, 25/11/2023
๐Ÿ“… 25/11/2023
20:00
Ponte Preta Ponte Preta
1.90
X
3.25
CRB CRB
3.85

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Ponte Preta x CRB:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Tied Match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on a tie, you can win up to $1625.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

The main points for the tip for Ponte Preta x CRB:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Ponte Preta in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-500.
๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on CRB in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
๐Ÿ‘‰ Ponte Preta did not score any goals in the last 5 matches as home team.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the home team against CRB, Ponte Preta scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 Ponte Preta matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 4 CRB matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 road matches, CRB has not lost any of them.
๐Ÿ‘‰ Ponte Preta has won all the last 3 matches playing at home against CRB.

๐Ÿ“Š Check out the analysis on Betfellows for this match: Full prognostic for Ponte Preta x CRB

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Summary

Looking for another bookie to bet on Ponte Preta x CRB?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Ponte Preta x CRB, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2023. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Ponte Preta x CRB for the Brazil Serie B – 25 of November

๐ŸŸ๏ธ Ponte Preta X CRB – Brazil Serie B
๐Ÿ“… 25 of November, 2023 – 20:00
๐Ÿ”ต Ponte Preta – Winning probability: 48.16% | Fair line: 2.08
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 34.07% | Fair line: 2.94
๐Ÿ”ด CRB – Winning probability: 17.77% | Fair line: 5.63
โš– Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Ponte Preta
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Ponte Preta x CRB right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1024927 matches from Betfellows database, our collaborative prediction platform, seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Ponte Preta x CRB

Should you bet on Ponte Preta?

๐Ÿ”ต Ponte Preta: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 48.16%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.90. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 480 times – this would give you a profit of $432.00
  • And would have lost other 520 times – with a loss of -$520.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$88.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

โšช draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 34.07% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.25. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 340 times – this would give you a profit of $765.00
  • And would lose other 660 times – having a loss of -$660.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$105.00.

Is betting on CRB worth it?

๐Ÿ”ด CRB: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 17.77% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.85. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 180 times – having a profit of $513.00;
  • And would have lost other 820 times – with a loss of -$820.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$307.00.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Ponte Preta x CRB

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on soccer betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

โš– Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Ponte Preta
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Ponte Preta x CRB

โš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 0.0 Ponte Preta, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.5 Ponte Preta.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.5 CRB.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Ponte Preta x CRB

โšฝ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.00 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves