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Home » Predictions » Others » Ponte Preta x Paysandu Betting tips for November 5 in Brazil Serie B
Tuesday, 05 November 2024, 00h00 Brazil Serie B
Ponte Preta Ponte Preta
PREDICTION Ponte Preta wins Probability 50% 1 X 2
Paysandu Paysandu
ODD: @2.3 Don't miss this prediction!

Ponte Preta x Paysandu Betting tips for November 5 in Brazil Serie B

Our betting tip for Ponte Preta x Paysandu, Tuesday, 5/11/2024
📅 5/11/2024
00:00
Ponte Preta Ponte Preta
2.30
X
3.05
Paysandu Paysandu
3.05

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Ponte Preta x Paysandu:

🔮 Ponte Preta wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Ponte Preta, you can win up to $1150.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Some important points for the tip for Ponte Preta x Paysandu:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Ponte Preta in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-70.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Paysandu in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Paysandu scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 Ponte Preta matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, Paysandu conceded at least 1 goal(s).

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Summary

Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on Ponte Preta x Paysandu?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Ponte Preta x Paysandu, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Ponte Preta x Paysandu for the Brazil Serie B – 5 of November

🏟️ Ponte Preta X Paysandu – Brazil Serie B
📅 5 of November, 2024 – 00:00
🔵 Ponte Preta – Winning probability: 50.88% | Fair line: 1.97
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 24.02% | Fair line: 4.16
🔴 Paysandu – Winning probability: 25.10% | Fair line: 3.98
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Ponte Preta
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Ponte Preta x Paysandu right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1216284 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Ponte Preta x Paysandu

Is betting on Ponte Preta worth it?

🔵 Ponte Preta: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 50.88% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.30. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 510 times – this would give you a profit of $663.00
  • And would lose other 490 times – losing -$490.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$173.00.

Should you bet on draw?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 24.02% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.05. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 240 times – profiting $492.00;
  • And would lose other 760 times – having a loss of -$760.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$268.00.

Is it worth betting on Paysandu?

🔴 Paysandu: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 25.1%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.05. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 250 times – this would give you a profit of $512.50
  • And would have lost other 750 times – with a loss of -$750.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$237.50.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Ponte Preta x Paysandu

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Ponte Preta
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Ponte Preta x Paysandu

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.75 Ponte Preta and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Ponte Preta.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 Ponte Preta.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Ponte Preta x Paysandu

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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