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Home ยป Predictions ยป Others ยป Pontevedra B x Arosa Betting tips for November 25 in Spain Tercera Group 1
Saturday, 25 November 2023, 00h00 Spain Tercera Group 1
Pontevedra B Pontevedra B
PREDICTION Arosa Wins Probability 61% 1 X 2
Arosa Arosa
ODD: @1.94 Don't miss this prediction! BET NOW Don't miss this prediction!

Pontevedra B x Arosa Betting tips for November 25 in Spain Tercera Group 1

Our betting tip for Pontevedra B x Arosa, Saturday, 25/11/2023
๐Ÿ“… 25/11/2023
15:00
Pontevedra B Pontevedra B
3.40
X
3.22
Arosa Arosa
1.94

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Pontevedra B x Arosa:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Arosa wins the match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Arosa, you can win up to $970.00!

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The main points for the tip for Pontevedra B x Arosa:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Pontevedra B in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-270.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 4 road matches, Arosa has not lost any of them.

๐Ÿ“Š Check out the full analysis on Betfellows: Prognostic for Pontevedra B x Arosa

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Summary

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Analysis from Pontevedra B x Arosa for the Spain Tercera Group 1 – 25 of November

๐ŸŸ๏ธ Pontevedra B X Arosa – Spain Tercera Group 1
๐Ÿ“… 25 of November, 2023 – 15:00
๐Ÿ”ต Pontevedra B – Winning probability: 13.58% | Fair line: 7.36
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 24.65% | Fair line: 4.06
๐Ÿ”ด Arosa – Winning probability: 61.77% | Fair line: 1.62
โš– Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Pontevedra B
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Pontevedra B and Arosa.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1025263 matches on the database from our soccer prognostics platform, Betfellows, looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Pontevedra B x Arosa

Is it worth betting on Pontevedra B?

๐Ÿ”ต Pontevedra B: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 13.58% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.40. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 140 times – profiting $336.00;
  • And would have lost other 860 times – with a loss of -$860.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$524.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

โšช draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 24.65%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.22. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 250 times – this would give you a profit of $555.00
  • And would have lost other 750 times – with a loss of -$750.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$195.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Arosa?

๐Ÿ”ด Arosa: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 61.77% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.94. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 620 times – having a profit of $582.80;
  • And would lose other 380 times – having a loss of -$380.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$202.80.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Pontevedra B x Arosa

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

โš– Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Pontevedra B
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Pontevedra B x Arosa

โš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.5 Pontevedra B and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.5 Pontevedra B.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Pontevedra B x Arosa

โšฝ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves