Pontevedra x Villarreal Betting tips for December 4 in Spain Copa del Rey
| 📅 4/12/2024 20:00 |
 Pontevedra8.00 |
X 4.75 |
Villarreal  1.35 |
This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Pontevedra x Villarreal:
🔮 Villarreal wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Villarreal, you can win up to $675.00!
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The main points for the tip for Pontevedra x Villarreal: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Pontevedra in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $284.0. |
Do you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Pontevedra x Villarreal?
If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Pontevedra x Villarreal, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:
Analysis from Pontevedra x Villarreal for the Spain Copa del Rey – 4 of December
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🏟️ Pontevedra X Villarreal – Spain Copa del Rey |
When the best bet on Pontevedra x Villarreal is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.
To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1232417 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Pontevedra x Villarreal
Is betting on Pontevedra worth it?
🔵 Pontevedra: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 1.67% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 8.00. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 20 times – this would give you a profit of $140.00
- And would lose other 980 times – losing -$980.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$840.00.
Is betting on draw worth it?
⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 2.93% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.75. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 30 times – having a profit of $112.50;
- And would lose other 970 times – losing -$970.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$857.50.
Should you bet on Villarreal?
🔴 Villarreal: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 95.4% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.35. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 950 times – having a profit of $332.50;
- And would lose other 50 times – losing -$50.00 with them.
So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$282.50.
Handicaps analysis for the match Pontevedra x Villarreal
Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +1.0 Pontevedra
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Pontevedra x Villarreal
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +1.0 Pontevedra and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +1.25 Pontevedra.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +1.25 Pontevedra.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Pontevedra x Villarreal
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.
