Pontypridd Utd x Ammanford AFC Betting tips for November 1 in Wales Championship South

Our betting tip for Pontypridd Utd x Ammanford AFC, Friday, 1/11/2024

📅 1/11/2024 19:30

Pontypridd Utd 1.80

X 3.90

Ammanford AFC 3.38

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Pontypridd Utd x Ammanford AFC:

👎 Unfortunately, we did not find any positive expected value bets for Pontypridd Utd x Ammanford AFC

Some important points for the tip for Pontypridd Utd x Ammanford AFC: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Pontypridd Utd in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-178.0. 👉 In the last 6 matches as the home team, Pontypridd Utd scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team against Ammanford AFC, Pontypridd Utd scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 head-to-head matches between Pontypridd Utd x Ammanford AFC, with Pontypridd Utd as the home team, they finished over 2.5 goals.

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Analysis from Pontypridd Utd x Ammanford AFC for the Wales Championship South – 1 of November

When the best bet on Pontypridd Utd x Ammanford AFC is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1213551 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Pontypridd Utd x Ammanford AFC

Should you bet on Pontypridd Utd?

🔵 Pontypridd Utd: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 57.06% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.80. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 570 times – profiting $456.00;
• And would lose other 430 times – having a loss of -$430.00 with them.

Although this bet has some value, notice that the expected profit is just 💰$26.00, which is not worth the risk in our point of view.

Should you bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 21.56% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.90. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 220 times – this would give you a profit of $638.00
• And would have lost other 780 times – with a loss of -$780.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$142.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Ammanford AFC?

🔴 Ammanford AFC: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 21.39% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.38. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 210 times – profiting $499.80;
• And would lose other 790 times – losing -$790.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$290.20.

Handicaps analysis for the match Pontypridd Utd x Ammanford AFC

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Pontypridd Utd
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Pontypridd Utd x Ammanford AFC

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 Pontypridd Utd and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.5 Pontypridd Utd.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.5 Ammanford AFC.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Pontypridd Utd x Ammanford AFC

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.25 goals.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.