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Home » Predictions » Others » Port FC x Persib Bandung Betting tips for November 28 in AFC Champions League Two
Thursday, 28 November 2024, 14h00 AFC Champions League Two
Port FC Port FC
PREDICTION Port FC wins Probability 76% 1 X 2
Persib Bandung Persib Bandung
ODD: @1.53 Don't miss this prediction!

Port FC x Persib Bandung Betting tips for November 28 in AFC Champions League Two

Our betting tip for Port FC x Persib Bandung, Thursday, 28/11/2024
📅 28/11/2024
14:00
Port FC Port FC
1.53
X
3.85
Persib Bandung Persib Bandung
5.00

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Port FC x Persib Bandung:

🔮 Port FC wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Port FC, you can win up to $765.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

The main points for the tip for Port FC x Persib Bandung:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Port FC in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-193.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Persib Bandung in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $122.0.
👉 In the last 6 matches as the home team, Port FC scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Port FC conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

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Analysis from Port FC x Persib Bandung for the AFC Champions League Two – 28 of November

🏟️ Port FC X Persib Bandung – AFC Champions League Two
📅 28 of November, 2024 – 14:00
🔵 Port FC – Winning probability: 76.34% | Fair line: 1.31
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 13.97% | Fair line: 7.16
🔴 Persib Bandung – Winning probability: 9.69% | Fair line: 10.32
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Port FC
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.00 corner kicks

When the best bet on Port FC x Persib Bandung is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1229024 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Port FC x Persib Bandung

Is betting on Port FC worth it?

🔵 Port FC: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 76.34% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.53. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 760 times – this would give you a profit of $402.80
  • And would lose other 240 times – losing -$240.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$162.80.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 13.97% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.85. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 140 times – this would give you a profit of $399.00
  • And would lose other 860 times – losing -$860.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$461.00.

Should you bet on Persib Bandung?

🔴 Persib Bandung: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 9.69%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 5.00. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 100 times – profiting $400.00;
  • And would lose other 900 times – having a loss of -$900.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$500.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Port FC x Persib Bandung

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Port FC
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Port FC x Persib Bandung

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.0 Port FC, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -1.0 Port FC.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Port FC x Persib Bandung

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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