Port Vale x Colchester Betting tips for October 1 in England League 2

Our betting tip for Port Vale x Colchester, Tuesday, 1/10/2024

📅 1/10/2024 15:45

Port Vale 1.88

X 3.57

Colchester 3.85

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Port Vale x Colchester:

🔮 Port Vale wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Port Vale, you can win up to $940.00!

Make this bet on Bet365 now!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

Important information for your tip for Port Vale x Colchester: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Port Vale in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-47.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Colchester in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-370.0. 👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, Port Vale scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team against Colchester, Port Vale scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, Colchester conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Port Vale has not lost any of the last 3 head-to-head matches against Colchester playing at home.

Do you want more options of bookies to bet on Port Vale x Colchester?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Port Vale x Colchester, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Port Vale x Colchester for the England League 2 – 1 of October

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Port Vale and Colchester.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1192611 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Port Vale x Colchester

Should you bet on Port Vale?

🔵 Port Vale: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 61.17%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.88. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 610 times – profiting $536.80;
• And would lose other 390 times – losing -$390.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$146.80.

Is betting on draw worth it?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 22.25% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.57. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 220 times – having a profit of $565.40;
• And would lose other 780 times – having a loss of -$780.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$214.60.

Is it worth betting on Colchester?

🔴 Colchester: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 16.58% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.85. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 170 times – this would give you a profit of $484.50
• And would lose other 830 times – having a loss of -$830.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$345.50.

Handicaps analysis for the match Port Vale x Colchester

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Port Vale
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Port Vale x Colchester

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.0 Port Vale, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.5 Port Vale.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.5 Port Vale.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Port Vale x Colchester

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.