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Home » Predictions » Others » Port Vale x Fleetwood Town Betting tips for January 9 in England FA Cup
Friday, 09 January 2026, 19h30 England FA Cup
Port Vale Port Vale
PREDICTION Port Vale wins Probability 74% 1 X 2
Fleetwood Town Fleetwood Town
ODD: @1.68
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Port Vale x Fleetwood Town Betting tips for January 9 in England FA Cup

Our betting tip for Port Vale x Fleetwood Town, Friday, 9/1/2026
📅 9/1/2026
19:30
Port Vale Port Vale
1.68
X
3.68
Fleetwood Town Fleetwood Town
4.73

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Port Vale x Fleetwood Town:

🔮 Port Vale wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Port Vale, you can win up to $840.00!

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Some important points for the tip for Port Vale x Fleetwood Town:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Port Vale in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $205.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Fleetwood Town in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $5.0.
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against Fleetwood Town, Port Vale scored at least 2 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 Fleetwood Town matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 5 head-to-head matches between Port Vale x Fleetwood Town, with Port Vale as the home team, they finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 Playing as the home team, Port Vale conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 5 head-to-head against Fleetwood Town.
👉 Port Vale has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against Fleetwood Town playing at home.

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Summary

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Analysis from Port Vale x Fleetwood Town for the England FA Cup – 9 of January

🏟️ Port Vale X Fleetwood Town – England FA Cup
📅 9 of January, 2026 – 19:30
🔵 Port Vale – Winning probability: 74.23% | Fair line: 1.35
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 12.77% | Fair line: 7.83
🔴 Fleetwood Town – Winning probability: 13.00% | Fair line: 7.69
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Port Vale
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks

Tips for the Match Odds market for Port Vale x Fleetwood Town

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Port Vale x Fleetwood Town right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1460156 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Is it worth betting on Port Vale?

🔵 Port Vale: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 74.23% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.68. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 740 times – this would give you a profit of $503.20
  • And would lose other 260 times – having a loss of -$260.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$243.20.

Is it worth betting on draw?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 12.77%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.68. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 130 times – profiting $348.40;
  • And would have lost other 870 times – with a loss of -$870.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$521.60.

Is betting on Fleetwood Town worth it?

🔴 Fleetwood Town: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 13.0% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.73. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 130 times – profiting $484.90;
  • And would lose other 870 times – having a loss of -$870.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$385.10.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Port Vale x Fleetwood Town

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Port Vale
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Port Vale x Fleetwood Town

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 Port Vale, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.75 Port Vale.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.75 Fleetwood Town.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Port Vale x Fleetwood Town

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.

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Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves