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Home » Predictions » Others » Portimonense x Vizela Betting tips for November 2 in Portugal Segunda Liga
Saturday, 02 November 2024, 11h00 Portugal Segunda Liga
Portimonense Portimonense
PREDICTION Vizela Wins Probability 49% 1 X 2
Vizela Vizela
ODD: @2.55 Don't miss this prediction!

Portimonense x Vizela Betting tips for November 2 in Portugal Segunda Liga

Our betting tip for Portimonense x Vizela, Saturday, 2/11/2024
📅 2/11/2024
11:00
Portimonense Portimonense
2.56
X
3.22
Vizela Vizela
2.55

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Portimonense x Vizela:

🔮 Vizela wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Vizela, you can win up to $1275.00!

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The main points for the tip for Portimonense x Vizela:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Portimonense in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-240.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Vizela in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-125.0.
👉 In the last 3 head-to-head matches between Portimonense x Vizela, with Portimonense as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, Portimonense conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

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Analysis from Portimonense x Vizela for the Portugal Segunda Liga – 2 of November

🏟️ Portimonense X Vizela – Portugal Segunda Liga
📅 2 of November, 2024 – 11:00
🔵 Portimonense – Winning probability: 20.50% | Fair line: 4.88
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 29.62% | Fair line: 3.38
🔴 Vizela – Winning probability: 49.88% | Fair line: 2.0
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Portimonense
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.25 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Portimonense x Vizela right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1213968 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Portimonense x Vizela

Is betting on Portimonense worth it?

🔵 Portimonense: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 20.5%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.56. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 210 times – profiting $327.60;
  • And would lose other 790 times – losing -$790.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$462.40.

Should you bet on draw?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 29.62%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.22. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 300 times – having a profit of $666.00;
  • And would lose other 700 times – having a loss of -$700.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$34.00.

Should you bet on Vizela?

🔴 Vizela: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 49.88% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.55. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 500 times – having a profit of $775.00;
  • And would have lost other 500 times – with a loss of -$500.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$275.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Portimonense x Vizela

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Portimonense
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Portimonense x Vizela

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.25 Portimonense and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 0.0 Portimonense.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.0 Vizela.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Portimonense x Vizela

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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