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Home » Predictions » Others » Portuguesa Desportos x Sao Paulo Betting tips for January 30 in Brazil Campeonato Paulista
Thursday, 30 January 2025, 00h35 Brazil Campeonato Paulista
Portuguesa Desportos Portuguesa Desportos
PREDICTION Sao Paulo Wins Probability 77% 1 X 2
Sao Paulo Sao Paulo
ODD: @1.63 Don't miss this prediction!

Portuguesa Desportos x Sao Paulo Betting tips for January 30 in Brazil Campeonato Paulista

Our betting tip for Portuguesa Desportos x Sao Paulo, Thursday, 30/1/2025
📅 30/1/2025
00:35
Portuguesa Desportos Portuguesa Desportos
5.00
X
3.50
Sao Paulo Sao Paulo
1.63

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Portuguesa Desportos x Sao Paulo:

🔮 Sao Paulo wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Sao Paulo, you can win up to $815.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Some important points for the tip for Portuguesa Desportos x Sao Paulo:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Portuguesa Desportos in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $98.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Sao Paulo in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Portuguesa Desportos scored at least 1 goal(s).

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Summary

Do you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Portuguesa Desportos x Sao Paulo?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2025, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Portuguesa Desportos x Sao Paulo:

Analysis from Portuguesa Desportos x Sao Paulo for the Brazil Campeonato Paulista – 30 of January

🏟️ Portuguesa Desportos X Sao Paulo – Brazil Campeonato Paulista
📅 30 of January, 2025 – 00:35
🔵 Portuguesa Desportos – Winning probability: 7.56% | Fair line: 13.23
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 14.99% | Fair line: 6.67
🔴 Sao Paulo – Winning probability: 77.46% | Fair line: 1.29
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.75 Portuguesa Desportos
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks

When the best bet on Portuguesa Desportos x Sao Paulo is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1253922 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Portuguesa Desportos x Sao Paulo

Is it worth betting on Portuguesa Desportos?

🔵 Portuguesa Desportos: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 7.56% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 5.00. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 80 times – having a profit of $320.00;
  • And would lose other 920 times – losing -$920.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$600.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 14.99% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.50. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 150 times – profiting $375.00;
  • And would lose other 850 times – losing -$850.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$475.00.

Should you bet on Sao Paulo?

🔴 Sao Paulo: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 77.46% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.63. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 770 times – this would give you a profit of $485.10
  • And would have lost other 230 times – with a loss of -$230.00 because of them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$255.10.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Portuguesa Desportos x Sao Paulo

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.75 Portuguesa Desportos
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Portuguesa Desportos x Sao Paulo

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.75 Portuguesa Desportos, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.75 Portuguesa Desportos.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Portuguesa Desportos x Sao Paulo

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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