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Home » Predictions » Others » Portuguesa Desportos x Sao Paulo Betting tips for January 30 in Brazil Campeonato Paulista
Thursday, 30 January 2025, 00h35 Brazil Campeonato Paulista
Portuguesa Desportos Portuguesa Desportos
PREDICTION Sao Paulo Wins Probability 64% 1 X 2
Sao Paulo Sao Paulo
ODD: @1.68 Don't miss this prediction!

Portuguesa Desportos x Sao Paulo Betting tips for January 30 in Brazil Campeonato Paulista

Our betting tip for Portuguesa Desportos x Sao Paulo, Thursday, 30/1/2025
📅 30/1/2025
00:35
Portuguesa Desportos Portuguesa Desportos
4.84
X
3.30
Sao Paulo Sao Paulo
1.68

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Portuguesa Desportos x Sao Paulo:

🔮 Sao Paulo wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Sao Paulo, you can win up to $840.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Important information for your tip for Portuguesa Desportos x Sao Paulo:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Portuguesa Desportos in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $98.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Sao Paulo in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Portuguesa Desportos scored at least 1 goal(s).

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Summary

Do you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Portuguesa Desportos x Sao Paulo?

If you already have an account on Bet365 or want other options of bookmakers, do not worry! This list below was carefully created taking you into consideration. These are the best betting sites analysed by us in 2025. You just have to click, deposit and bet:

Analysis from Portuguesa Desportos x Sao Paulo for the Brazil Campeonato Paulista – 30 of January

🏟️ Portuguesa Desportos X Sao Paulo – Brazil Campeonato Paulista
📅 30 of January, 2025 – 00:35
🔵 Portuguesa Desportos – Winning probability: 14.69% | Fair line: 6.81
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 20.78% | Fair line: 4.81
🔴 Sao Paulo – Winning probability: 64.52% | Fair line: 1.55
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Portuguesa Desportos
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks

When the best bet on Portuguesa Desportos x Sao Paulo is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1253922 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Portuguesa Desportos x Sao Paulo

Is betting on Portuguesa Desportos worth it?

🔵 Portuguesa Desportos: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 14.69% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.84. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 150 times – having a profit of $576.00;
  • And would lose other 850 times – having a loss of -$850.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$274.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 20.78% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.30. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 210 times – profiting $483.00;
  • And would lose other 790 times – having a loss of -$790.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$307.00.

Is betting on Sao Paulo worth it?

🔴 Sao Paulo: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 64.52% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.68. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 650 times – profiting $442.00;
  • And would lose other 350 times – having a loss of -$350.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$92.00.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Portuguesa Desportos x Sao Paulo

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Portuguesa Desportos
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Portuguesa Desportos x Sao Paulo

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.5 Portuguesa Desportos and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.75 Portuguesa Desportos.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +0.75 Portuguesa Desportos.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Portuguesa Desportos x Sao Paulo

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

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Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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