Potenza x Crotone Betting tips for December 10 in Italy Serie C Cup
| π
10/12/2025 17:00 |
 Potenza2.41 |
X 3.00 |
Crotone  2.78 |
Our algorithm has selected this tip for Potenza x Crotone:
π Umm…what a pity! We do not have any positive expected value tips for Potenza x Crotone
The main points for the tip for Potenza x Crotone:
π If you had bet $100 on Potenza in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $352.0.
π If you had bet $100 on Crotone in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-343.0.
π In the last 4 matches as the home team, Potenza scored at least 2 goal(s).
π In the last 4 matches as the home team against Crotone, Potenza scored at least 1 goal(s).
π In the last 4 Potenza matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
π In the last 3 head-to-head matches between Potenza x Crotone, with Potenza as the home team, they finished over 2.5 goals.
π In the last 3 matches as the home team, Potenza conceded at least 1 goal(s).
π In the last 3 matches as the away team, Crotone conceded at least 1 goal(s).
π Playing as the home team, Potenza conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 4 head-to-head against Crotone.
π Potenza is good playing home: it has 4 wins in a row in its last matches at home.
π Potenza has not lost any of the last 4 head-to-head matches against Crotone playing at home.
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Analysis from Potenza x Crotone for the Italy Serie C Cup – 10 of December
ποΈ Potenza X Crotone – Italy Serie C Cup
π
10 of December, 2025 – 17:00
π΅ Potenza – Winning probability: 38.36% | Fair line: 2.61
βͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 24.89% | Fair line: 4.02
π΄ Crotone – Winning probability: 36.75% | Fair line: 2.72
β Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Potenza
β½ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
β³ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Potenza x Crotone right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1451631 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Potenza x Crotone
Is it a good idea to bet on Potenza?
π΅ Potenza: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 38.36% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.41. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 380 times – having a profit of $535.80;
- And would have lost other 620 times – with a loss of -$620.00 because of them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of π°-$84.20.
Should you bet on draw?
βͺ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 24.89% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.00. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 250 times – having a profit of $500.00;
- And would lose other 750 times – losing -$750.00 with them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of π°-$250.00.
Is it worth betting on Crotone?
π΄ Crotone: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 36.75%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.78. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 370 times – profiting $658.60;
- And would lose other 630 times – losing -$630.00 with them.
Even if it is a positive expected value bet, the expected profit is just π°$28.60 which is not worth the risk in our opinion.
Handicaps analysis for the match Potenza x Crotone
Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:
β Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Potenza
β½ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Potenza x Crotone
β Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.5 Potenza, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 0.0 Potenza.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.0 Crotone.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Potenza x Crotone
β½ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.
