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Home » Predictions » Others » PSBS Biak x Dewa United FC Betting tips for December 28 in Indonesia Liga 1
Saturday, 28 December 2024, 08h30 Indonesia Liga 1
PSBS Biak PSBS Biak
PREDICTION No tip
Dewa United FC Dewa United FC
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PSBS Biak x Dewa United FC Betting tips for December 28 in Indonesia Liga 1

Our betting tip for PSBS Biak x Dewa United FC, Saturday, 28/12/2024
📅 28/12/2024
08:30
PSBS Biak PSBS Biak
2.63
X
3.24
Dewa United FC Dewa United FC
2.42

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for PSBS Biak x Dewa United FC:

👎 Umm…too bad! We did not find any positive expected value bets for PSBS Biak x Dewa United FC

Important information for your tip for PSBS Biak x Dewa United FC:

👉 If you had bet $100 on PSBS Biak in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $35.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Dewa United FC in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-65.0.
👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, PSBS Biak scored at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

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Analysis from PSBS Biak x Dewa United FC for the Indonesia Liga 1 – 28 of December

🏟️ PSBS Biak X Dewa United FC – Indonesia Liga 1
📅 28 of December, 2024 – 08:30
🔵 PSBS Biak – Winning probability: 29.52% | Fair line: 3.39
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 28.52% | Fair line: 3.51
🔴 Dewa United FC – Winning probability: 41.96% | Fair line: 2.38
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.75 PSBS Biak
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

When the best bet on PSBS Biak x Dewa United FC is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1240200 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for PSBS Biak x Dewa United FC

Is it a good idea to bet on PSBS Biak?

🔵 PSBS Biak: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 29.52%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.63. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 300 times – profiting $489.00;
  • And would lose other 700 times – losing -$700.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$211.00.

Should you bet on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 28.52% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.24. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 290 times – profiting $649.60;
  • And would lose other 710 times – losing -$710.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$60.40.

Is betting on Dewa United FC worth it?

🔴 Dewa United FC: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 41.96% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.42. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 420 times – having a profit of $596.40;
  • And would lose other 580 times – losing -$580.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$16.40.

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Handicaps analysis for the match PSBS Biak x Dewa United FC

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.75 PSBS Biak
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for PSBS Biak x Dewa United FC

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.75 PSBS Biak, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 0.0 PSBS Biak.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.75. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.0 Dewa United FC.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for PSBS Biak x Dewa United FC

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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