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Home ยป Predictions ยป Others ยป PSBS Biak x Semen Padang Betting tips for October 18 in Indonesia Liga 1
Friday, 18 October 2024, 08h30 Indonesia Liga 1
PSBS Biak PSBS Biak
PREDICTION PSBS Biak wins Probability 67% 1 X 2
Semen Padang Semen Padang
ODD: @1.72 Don't miss this prediction!

PSBS Biak x Semen Padang Betting tips for October 18 in Indonesia Liga 1

Our betting tip for PSBS Biak x Semen Padang, Friday, 18/10/2024
๐Ÿ“… 18/10/2024
08:30
PSBS Biak PSBS Biak
1.72
X
3.30
Semen Padang Semen Padang
4.52

Our algorithm has selected this tip for PSBS Biak x Semen Padang:

๐Ÿ”ฎ PSBS Biak wins the match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on PSBS Biak, you can win up to $860.00!

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The main points for the tip for PSBS Biak x Semen Padang:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on PSBS Biak in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $345.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Semen Padang in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 4 matches as the home team, PSBS Biak conceded at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 5 matches as the away team, Semen Padang conceded at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ It is not a good time for Semen Padang as away team: it comes from 4 losses in a row in its last away matches.

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Summary

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Analysis from PSBS Biak x Semen Padang for the Indonesia Liga 1 – 18 of October

๐ŸŸ๏ธ PSBS Biak X Semen Padang – Indonesia Liga 1
๐Ÿ“… 18 of October, 2024 – 08:30
๐Ÿ”ต PSBS Biak – Winning probability: 67.28% | Fair line: 1.49
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 22.23% | Fair line: 4.5
๐Ÿ”ด Semen Padang – Winning probability: 10.49% | Fair line: 9.53
โš– Handicap 1×2: -0.75 PSBS Biak
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

When the best bet on PSBS Biak x Semen Padang is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1203353 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for PSBS Biak x Semen Padang

Is it a good idea to bet on PSBS Biak?

๐Ÿ”ต PSBS Biak: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 67.28%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.72. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 670 times – this would give you a profit of $482.40
  • And would have lost other 330 times – with a loss of -$330.00 because of them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$152.40.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

โšช draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 22.23%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.30. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 220 times – this would give you a profit of $506.00
  • And would lose other 780 times – losing -$780.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$274.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Semen Padang?

๐Ÿ”ด Semen Padang: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 10.49% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.52. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 100 times – having a profit of $352.00;
  • And would lose other 900 times – losing -$900.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$548.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match PSBS Biak x Semen Padang

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

โš– Handicap 1×2: -0.75 PSBS Biak
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for PSBS Biak x Semen Padang

โš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.75 PSBS Biak, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.75 PSBS Biak.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for PSBS Biak x Semen Padang

โšฝ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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