PSG x Marseille Betting tips for January 8 in France Super Cup
| 📅 8/1/2026 18:00 |
PSG1.57 |
X 4.15 |
Marseille ![]() 5.20 |
This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for PSG x Marseille:
🔮 PSG wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on PSG, you can win up to $785.00!
Important information for your tip for PSG x Marseille:
👉 If you had bet $100 on PSG in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $2.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Marseille in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $203.0.
👉 In the last 7 matches as the home team, PSG scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against Marseille, PSG scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 PSG has won all the last 5 matches playing at home against Marseille.
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Analysis from PSG x Marseille for the France Super Cup – 8 of January
🏟️ PSG X Marseille – France Super Cup
📅 8 of January, 2026 – 18:00
🔵 PSG – Winning probability: 73.93% | Fair line: 1.35
⚪ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 8.17% | Fair line: 12.24
🔴 Marseille – Winning probability: 17.90% | Fair line: 5.59
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 PSG
⚽ Expected goals: 3.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.00 corner kicks
Tips for the Match Odds market for PSG x Marseille
When the best bet on PSG x Marseille is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.
To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1460156 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:
Is betting on PSG worth it?
🔵 PSG: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 73.93% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.57. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 740 times – having a profit of $421.80;
- And would lose other 260 times – having a loss of -$260.00 with them.
That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$161.80.
Is it worth betting on draw?
⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 8.17% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.15. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 80 times – profiting $252.00;
- And would have lost other 920 times – with a loss of -$920.00 because of them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$668.00.
Is betting on Marseille worth it?
🔴 Marseille: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 17.9% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 5.20. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 180 times – this would give you a profit of $756.00
- And would lose other 820 times – having a loss of -$820.00 with them.
Even if it is a positive expected value bet, the expected profit is just 💰$64.00 which is not worth the risk in our opinion.
Handicaps analysis for the match PSG x Marseille
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 PSG
⚽ Expected goals: 3.50 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for PSG x Marseille
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.75 PSG, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -1.0 PSG.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 1.0 Marseille.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for PSG x Marseille
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.75 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.75, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.75 goals.

PSG