PSG U19 x Caen U19 Betting tips for December 1 in France U19 League

Our betting tip for PSG U19 x Caen U19, Sunday, 1/12/2024

📅 1/12/2024 13:30

PSG U19 2.15

X 3.40

Caen U19 2.80

Our algorithm has selected this tip for PSG U19 x Caen U19:

👎 Umm…too bad! We did not find any positive expected value bets for PSG U19 x Caen U19

Some important points for the tip for PSG U19 x Caen U19: 👉 If you had bet $100 on PSG U19 in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $260.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Caen U19 in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $323.0. 👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against Caen U19, PSG U19 scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 5 head-to-head matches between PSG U19 x Caen U19, with PSG U19 as the home team, they finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 PSG U19 has won all the last 4 matches playing at home against Caen U19.

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Analysis from PSG U19 x Caen U19 for the France U19 League – 1 of December

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for PSG U19 x Caen U19 right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1230121 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for PSG U19 x Caen U19

Should you bet on PSG U19?

🔵 PSG U19: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 41.11% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.15. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 410 times – having a profit of $471.50;
• And would lose other 590 times – losing -$590.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$118.50.

Is it worth betting on draw?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 27.31% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.40. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 270 times – this would give you a profit of $648.00
• And would lose other 730 times – losing -$730.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$82.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Caen U19?

🔴 Caen U19: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 31.58% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.80. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 320 times – profiting $576.00;
• And would have lost other 680 times – with a loss of -$680.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$104.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match PSG U19 x Caen U19

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 PSG U19
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for PSG U19 x Caen U19

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 PSG U19, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 PSG U19.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for PSG U19 x Caen U19

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.75 goals.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.