PSV x Excelsior Betting tips for January 14 in Netherlands Cup

Our betting tip for PSV x Excelsior, Tuesday, 14/1/2025

📅 14/1/2025 20:00

PSV 1.10

X 9.28

Excelsior 13.83

Our algorithm has selected this tip for PSV x Excelsior:

🔮 PSV wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on PSV, you can win up to $550.00!

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The main points for the tip for PSV x Excelsior: 👉 If you had bet $100 on PSV in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $33.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Excelsior in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-114.0. 👉 In the last 8 matches as the home team, PSV scored at least 2 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Excelsior scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against Excelsior, PSV scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 8 PSV matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 3 head-to-head matches between PSV x Excelsior, with PSV as the home team, they finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Excelsior conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 7 road matches, Excelsior has not lost any of them. 👉 PSV has won all the last 5 matches playing at home against Excelsior.

Do you want other options of bookmakers to bet on PSV x Excelsior?

If you already have an account on Bet365 or want other options of bookmakers, do not worry! This list below was carefully created taking you into consideration. These are the best betting sites analysed by us in 2025. You just have to click, deposit and bet:

Analysis from PSV x Excelsior for the Netherlands Cup – 14 of January

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between PSV and Excelsior.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1245132 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for PSV x Excelsior

Should you bet on PSV?

🔵 PSV: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 99.38% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.10. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 990 times – profiting $99.00;
• And would lose other 10 times – having a loss of -$10.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$89.00.

Is betting on draw worth it?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 0.43% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 9.28. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 0 times – this would give you a profit of $0.00
• And would lose other 1000 times – losing -$1000.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$1000.00.

Is betting on Excelsior worth it?

🔴 Excelsior: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 0.19% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 13.83. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 0 times – profiting $0.00;
• And would lose other 1000 times – having a loss of -$1000.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$1000.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match PSV x Excelsior

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -2.75 PSV
⚽ Expected goals: 3.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for PSV x Excelsior

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -2.75 PSV, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -2.75 PSV.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for PSV x Excelsior

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 4.25 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.75, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 4.25 goals.