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Home ยป Predictions ยป Others ยป PSV Reserves x AZ Reserves Betting tips for November 24 in Netherlands Eerste Divisie
Friday, 24 November 2023, 00h00 Netherlands Eerste Divisie
PSV Reserves PSV Reserves
PREDICTION AZ Reserves Wins Probability 51% 1 X 2
AZ Reserves AZ Reserves
ODD: @2.26 Don't miss this prediction! BET NOW Don't miss this prediction!

PSV Reserves x AZ Reserves Betting tips for November 24 in Netherlands Eerste Divisie

Our betting tip for PSV Reserves x AZ Reserves, Friday, 24/11/2023
๐Ÿ“… 24/11/2023
19:00
PSV Reserves PSV Reserves
2.64
X
3.60
AZ Reserves AZ Reserves
2.26

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for PSV Reserves x AZ Reserves:

๐Ÿ”ฎ AZ Reserves wins the match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on AZ Reserves, you can win up to $1130.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

The main points for the tip for PSV Reserves x AZ Reserves:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on PSV Reserves in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-500.
๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on AZ Reserves in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the home team, PSV Reserves scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the away team, AZ Reserves scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 5 matches as the home team against AZ Reserves, PSV Reserves scored at least 2 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 PSV Reserves matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 AZ Reserves matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the home team, PSV Reserves conceded at least 2 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the away team, AZ Reserves conceded at least 2 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ PSV Reserves has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against AZ Reserves playing at home.
๐Ÿ‘‰ It is not a good time for PSV Reserves as home team: it comes from 3 losses in a row in its last home matches.

๐Ÿ“Š You can also check out the full analysis on Betfellows: Prognostic for PSV Reserves x AZ Reserves

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Summary

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Analysis from PSV Reserves x AZ Reserves for the Netherlands Eerste Divisie – 24 of November

๐ŸŸ๏ธ PSV Reserves X AZ Reserves – Netherlands Eerste Divisie
๐Ÿ“… 24 of November, 2023 – 19:00
๐Ÿ”ต PSV Reserves – Winning probability: 28.18% | Fair line: 3.55
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 19.98% | Fair line: 5.01
๐Ÿ”ด AZ Reserves – Winning probability: 51.84% | Fair line: 1.93
โš– Handicap 1×2: +0.5 PSV Reserves
โšฝ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks

When the best bet on PSV Reserves x AZ Reserves is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1024961 matches on the database from our soccer prognostics platform, Betfellows, looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for PSV Reserves x AZ Reserves

Is it worth betting on PSV Reserves?

๐Ÿ”ต PSV Reserves: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 28.18%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.64. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 280 times – this would give you a profit of $459.20
  • And would have lost other 720 times – with a loss of -$720.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$260.80.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

โšช draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 19.98%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.60. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 200 times – having a profit of $520.00;
  • And would lose other 800 times – losing -$800.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$280.00.

Should you bet on AZ Reserves?

๐Ÿ”ด AZ Reserves: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 51.84% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.26. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 520 times – this would give you a profit of $655.20
  • And would lose other 480 times – losing -$480.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$175.20.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match PSV Reserves x AZ Reserves

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on soccer betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

โš– Handicap 1×2: +0.5 PSV Reserves
โšฝ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for PSV Reserves x AZ Reserves

โš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.5 PSV Reserves, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.25 PSV Reserves.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 AZ Reserves.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for PSV Reserves x AZ Reserves

โšฝ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 3.25 goals.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves