Puebla Women x Queretaro Women Betting tips for September 30 in Mexico Liga MX Femenil

Our betting tip for Puebla Women x Queretaro Women, Monday, 30/9/2024

📅 30/9/2024 20:00

Puebla Women 2.88

X 3.30

Queretaro Women 2.16

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Puebla Women x Queretaro Women:

🔮 Queretaro Women wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Queretaro Women, you can win up to $1080.00!

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Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

The main points for the tip for Puebla Women x Queretaro Women: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Puebla Women in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-364.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Queretaro Women in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-138.0. 👉 Queretaro Women did not concede a goal in the last 4 matches as away team. 👉 In the last 4 Queretaro Women matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 5 head-to-head matches between Puebla Women x Queretaro Women, with Puebla Women as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 Playing as the home team, Puebla Women conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 5 head-to-head against Queretaro Women. 👉 In the last 4 road matches, Queretaro Women has not lost any of them.

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Analysis from Puebla Women x Queretaro Women for the Mexico Liga MX Femenil – 30 of September

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Puebla Women x Queretaro Women right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1192575 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Puebla Women x Queretaro Women

Is it worth betting on Puebla Women?

🔵 Puebla Women: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 21.27% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.88. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 210 times – profiting $394.80;
• And would lose other 790 times – having a loss of -$790.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$395.20.

Is it worth betting on draw?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 30.53%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.30. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 310 times – this would give you a profit of $713.00
• And would have lost other 690 times – with a loss of -$690.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$23.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Queretaro Women?

🔴 Queretaro Women: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 48.21% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.16. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 480 times – profiting $556.80;
• And would have lost other 520 times – with a loss of -$520.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$36.80.

Handicaps analysis for the match Puebla Women x Queretaro Women

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.75 Puebla Women
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Puebla Women x Queretaro Women

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.75 Puebla Women and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.25 Puebla Women.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 Queretaro Women.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Puebla Women x Queretaro Women

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Goals Handicap market.