Puerto Rico x Aruba Betting tips for November 16 in CONCACAF Nations League

Our betting tip for Puerto Rico x Aruba, Saturday, 16/11/2024

📅 16/11/2024 02:00

Puerto Rico 1.03

X 11.00

Aruba 30.00

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Puerto Rico x Aruba:

👎 Unfortunately, we do not have any positive expected value tips for Puerto Rico x Aruba

Some important points for the tip for Puerto Rico x Aruba: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Puerto Rico in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-146.0. 👉 In the last 6 matches as the home team, Puerto Rico scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 6 Puerto Rico matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 6 matches as the away team, Aruba conceded at least 1 goal(s).

Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on Puerto Rico x Aruba?

If you already have an account on Bet365 or want other options of bookmakers, do not worry! This list below was carefully created taking you into consideration. These are the best betting sites analysed by us in 2024. You just have to click, deposit and bet:

Analysis from Puerto Rico x Aruba for the CONCACAF Nations League – 16 of November

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Puerto Rico and Aruba.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1221437 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Puerto Rico x Aruba

Is it worth betting on Puerto Rico?

🔵 Puerto Rico: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 99.98% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.03. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 1000 times – this would give you a profit of $30.00
• And would lose other 0 times – having a loss of -$0.00 with them.

Although this bet has some value, notice that the expected profit is just 💰$30.00, which is not worth the risk in our point of view.

Is betting on draw worth it?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 0.02% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 11.00. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 0 times – having a profit of $0.00;
• And would lose other 1000 times – losing -$1000.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$1000.00.

Is it worth betting on Aruba?

🔴 Aruba: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 0.0% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 30.00. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 0 times – this would give you a profit of $0.00
• And would lose other 1000 times – losing -$1000.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$1000.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Puerto Rico x Aruba

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -3.25 Puerto Rico
⚽ Expected goals: 4.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Puerto Rico x Aruba

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -3.25 Puerto Rico and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -2.5 Puerto Rico.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.75, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -2.5 Puerto Rico.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Puerto Rico x Aruba

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 4.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.50 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 1.00, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 3.50 goals.