Puntarenas x Deportivo Saprissa Betting tips for April 16 in Costa Rica Primera Division

Our betting tip for Puntarenas x Deportivo Saprissa, Wednesday, 16/4/2025

📅 16/4/2025 02:00

Puntarenas 3.58

X 3.05

Deportivo Saprissa 2.05

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Puntarenas x Deportivo Saprissa:

👎 Umm…what a pity! We do not have any positive expected value tips for Puntarenas x Deportivo Saprissa

Some important points for the tip for Puntarenas x Deportivo Saprissa: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Puntarenas in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $277.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Deportivo Saprissa in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-330.0. 👉 In the last 6 matches as the home team, Puntarenas scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Playing as the home team, Puntarenas conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 5 head-to-head against Deportivo Saprissa. 👉 Even as a visitor, Deportivo Saprissa won the last 3 head-to-head matches Puntarenas´s territory

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Analysis from Puntarenas x Deportivo Saprissa for the Costa Rica Primera Division – 16 of April

When the best bet on Puntarenas x Deportivo Saprissa is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1304965 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Puntarenas x Deportivo Saprissa

Is it a good idea to bet on Puntarenas?

🔵 Puntarenas: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 19.28% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.58. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 190 times – profiting $490.20;
• And would lose other 810 times – having a loss of -$810.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$319.80.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 32.48% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.05. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 320 times – having a profit of $656.00;
• And would have lost other 680 times – with a loss of -$680.00 because of them.

Even if it is a positive expected value bet, the expected profit is just 💰$24.00 which is not worth the risk in our opinion.

Is it a good idea to bet on Deportivo Saprissa?

🔴 Deportivo Saprissa: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 48.24%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.05. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 480 times – this would give you a profit of $504.00
• And would lose other 520 times – having a loss of -$520.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$16.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Puntarenas x Deportivo Saprissa

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Puntarenas
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Puntarenas x Deportivo Saprissa

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 0.0 Puntarenas, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.25 Puntarenas.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +0.25 Puntarenas.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Puntarenas x Deportivo Saprissa

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.