Puntarenas x Herediano Betting tips for October 17 in Costa Rica Primera Division

Our betting tip for Puntarenas x Herediano, Thursday, 17/10/2024

📅 17/10/2024 02:00

Puntarenas 3.42

X 3.35

Herediano 1.96

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Puntarenas x Herediano:

👎 Unfortunately, we did not find any positive expected value bets for Puntarenas x Herediano

Some important points for the tip for Puntarenas x Herediano: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Puntarenas in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-115.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Herediano in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-142.0. 👉 In the last 4 Puntarenas matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, Herediano conceded at least 1 goal(s).

Looking for another bookie to bet on Puntarenas x Herediano?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Puntarenas x Herediano, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Puntarenas x Herediano for the Costa Rica Primera Division – 17 of October

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Puntarenas x Herediano right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1202780 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Puntarenas x Herediano

Is it worth betting on Puntarenas?

🔵 Puntarenas: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 21.77% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.42. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 220 times – profiting $532.40;
• And would lose other 780 times – having a loss of -$780.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$247.60.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 30.26% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.35. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 300 times – profiting $705.00;
• And would lose other 700 times – having a loss of -$700.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$5.00.

Is it worth betting on Herediano?

🔴 Herediano: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 47.96%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.96. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 480 times – this would give you a profit of $460.80
• And would lose other 520 times – having a loss of -$520.00 with them.

Even if it is a positive expected value bet, the expected profit is just 💰$59.20 which is not worth the risk in our opinion.

Handicaps analysis for the match Puntarenas x Herediano

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Puntarenas
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Puntarenas x Herediano

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 0.0 Puntarenas and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.5 Puntarenas.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +0.5 Puntarenas.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Puntarenas x Herediano

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.