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Home » Predictions » Others » Qaradag Lokbatan x Energetik Mingechevir Betting tips for October 16 in Azerbaijan Division 1
Wednesday, 16 October 2024, 11h00 Azerbaijan Division 1
Qaradag Lokbatan Qaradag Lokbatan
PREDICTION Qaradag Lokbatan wins Probability 50% 1 X 2
Energetik Mingechevir Energetik Mingechevir
ODD: @2.17 Don't miss this prediction!

Qaradag Lokbatan x Energetik Mingechevir Betting tips for October 16 in Azerbaijan Division 1

Our betting tip for Qaradag Lokbatan x Energetik Mingechevir, Wednesday, 16/10/2024
📅 16/10/2024
11:00
Qaradag Lokbatan Qaradag Lokbatan
2.17
X
3.40
Energetik Mingechevir Energetik Mingechevir
2.80

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Qaradag Lokbatan x Energetik Mingechevir:

🔮 Qaradag Lokbatan wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Qaradag Lokbatan, you can win up to $1085.00!

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The main points for the tip for Qaradag Lokbatan x Energetik Mingechevir:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Qaradag Lokbatan in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-245.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Energetik Mingechevir in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $50.0.
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against Energetik Mingechevir, Qaradag Lokbatan scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 Qaradag Lokbatan matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, Qaradag Lokbatan conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 matches as the away team, Energetik Mingechevir conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Qaradag Lokbatan has won all the last 5 matches playing at home against Energetik Mingechevir.

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Summary

Do you want more options of bookies to bet on Qaradag Lokbatan x Energetik Mingechevir?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Qaradag Lokbatan x Energetik Mingechevir, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Qaradag Lokbatan x Energetik Mingechevir for the Azerbaijan Division 1 – 16 of October

🏟️ Qaradag Lokbatan X Energetik Mingechevir – Azerbaijan Division 1
📅 16 of October, 2024 – 11:00
🔵 Qaradag Lokbatan – Winning probability: 50.25% | Fair line: 1.99
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 28.06% | Fair line: 3.56
🔴 Energetik Mingechevir – Winning probability: 21.69% | Fair line: 4.61
⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Qaradag Lokbatan
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Qaradag Lokbatan x Energetik Mingechevir right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1202638 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Qaradag Lokbatan x Energetik Mingechevir

Should you bet on Qaradag Lokbatan?

🔵 Qaradag Lokbatan: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 50.25%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.17. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 500 times – profiting $585.00;
  • And would lose other 500 times – losing -$500.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$85.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 28.06% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.40. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 280 times – profiting $672.00;
  • And would lose other 720 times – having a loss of -$720.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$48.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Energetik Mingechevir?

🔴 Energetik Mingechevir: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 21.69% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.80. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 220 times – this would give you a profit of $396.00
  • And would have lost other 780 times – with a loss of -$780.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$384.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Qaradag Lokbatan x Energetik Mingechevir

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Qaradag Lokbatan
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Qaradag Lokbatan x Energetik Mingechevir

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 0.0 Qaradag Lokbatan and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Qaradag Lokbatan.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.25 Energetik Mingechevir.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Qaradag Lokbatan x Energetik Mingechevir

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.00 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 3.00 goals.

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Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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