QPR x Birmingham Betting tips for December 9 in England Championship

Our betting tip for QPR x Birmingham, Tuesday, 9/12/2025

📅 9/12/2025
20:00

QPR
2.75

X
3.20

Birmingham

2.55

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for QPR x Birmingham:

👎 Umm…too bad! We did not find any positive expected value bets for QPR x Birmingham

The main points for the tip for QPR x Birmingham:

👉 If you had bet $100 on QPR in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-305.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Birmingham in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-250.0.
👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, QPR scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 QPR matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, QPR conceded at least 2 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Birmingham conceded at least 1 goal(s).

Summary

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Analysis from QPR x Birmingham for the England Championship – 9 of December

🏟️ QPR X Birmingham – England Championship
📅 9 of December, 2025 – 20:00
🔵 QPR – Winning probability: 32.14% | Fair line: 3.11
⚪ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 30.10% | Fair line: 3.32
🔴 Birmingham – Winning probability: 37.76% | Fair line: 2.65
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 QPR
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks

When the best bet on QPR x Birmingham is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1449099 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for QPR x Birmingham

Is betting on QPR worth it?

🔵 QPR: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 32.14% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.75. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

Would have hit 320 times – having a profit of $560.00;
And would lose other 680 times – having a loss of -$680.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$120.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 30.1% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.20. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

Would have hit 300 times – having a profit of $660.00;
And would lose other 700 times – losing -$700.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$40.00.

Is it worth betting on Birmingham?

🔴 Birmingham: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 37.76% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.55. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

Would hit 380 times – this would give you a profit of $589.00
And would lose other 620 times – losing -$620.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$31.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match QPR x Birmingham

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 QPR
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for QPR x Birmingham

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.25 QPR, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 0.0 QPR.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.0 Birmingham.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for QPR x Birmingham

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.