QPR x Luton Betting tips for January 6 in England Championship

Our betting tip for QPR x Luton, Monday, 6/1/2025

📅 6/1/2025 20:00

QPR 2.45

X 3.20

Luton 2.87

Our algorithm has selected this tip for QPR x Luton:

🔮 Tied Match
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Important information for your tip for QPR x Luton: 👉 If you had bet $100 on QPR in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $567.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Luton in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500. 👉 In the last 6 matches as the home team, QPR scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, Luton conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 QPR is good playing home: it has 4 wins in a row in its last matches at home. 👉 It is not a good time for Luton as away team: it comes from 7 losses in a row in its last away matches.

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Analysis from QPR x Luton for the England Championship – 6 of January

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for QPR x Luton right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1242357 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for QPR x Luton

Is betting on QPR worth it?

🔵 QPR: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 31.19% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.45. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 310 times – this would give you a profit of $449.50
• And would have lost other 690 times – with a loss of -$690.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$240.50.

Should you bet on draw?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 39.5%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.20. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 400 times – profiting $880.00;
• And would lose other 600 times – having a loss of -$600.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$280.00.

Should you bet on Luton?

🔴 Luton: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 29.31%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.87. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 290 times – profiting $542.30;
• And would have lost other 710 times – with a loss of -$710.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$167.70.

Handicaps analysis for the match QPR x Luton

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 QPR
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for QPR x Luton

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.75 QPR and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 0.0 QPR.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.75. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.0 QPR.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for QPR x Luton

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Goals Handicap market.